Profit/Loss
Past Day

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
72¢
89¢

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
78.1¢
92.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?
51¢
33.5¢

NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by October 31?

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?
15¢
14.5¢

Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
24¢
28¢

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0.8¢
0.9¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

US x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
1.4¢
1.4¢

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.7¢
0.9¢

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Domenico Giannetta win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?
0.8¢
0.7¢

Will Domenico Giannetta win the next Reggio di Calabria by-election?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?
18¢
1.2¢

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by September 30, 2026?