Profit/Loss
Past Day

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?
72¢
85.5¢

Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?
78.1¢
91.5¢

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by October 31?

Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31?

Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 30?

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
32¢
43¢

Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?
51¢
45.5¢

Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?
62¢
61.5¢

Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting?

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
44¢
37.5¢

Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?
7¢
7.5¢

US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?
24¢
36¢

Will Russia and Ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by October 31, 2026?

Will Como win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship?

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?
0.8¢
1¢

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?

Israel withdraws from Lebanon by December 31, 2026?

Trump renames AI by September 30?

Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

GTA 6 launch postponed again?

Will Rodri win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
0.7¢
0.9¢

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Will Apple release a foldable iPhone by October 31?