Nasdaq's recent rule amendments, effective May 1, 2026, enabling rapid inclusion of mega-IPOs like SpaceX into the Nasdaq 100 index just 15 days post-listing—bypassing traditional profitability and seasoning thresholds—have driven the 89.5% market-implied probability for a Nasdaq debut. SpaceX's confidential IPO filing targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation, accelerated employee share vesting from May to April, and closed-door analyst briefings signal imminent public listing, potentially by mid-June. Elon Musk's Tesla precedent on Nasdaq reinforces trader consensus, while slim odds on NYSE (1.7%) reflect its stricter criteria and nascent Texas exchange speculation in "Other" (6.8%). A late-May S-1 public filing could shift these odds amid SpaceX's Starship mission successes bolstering valuation fundamentals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoWhich exchange will SpaceX list on?
Which exchange will SpaceX list on?
NASDAQ 90%
Other 7.0%
NYSE 1.9%
$95,264 Wol.
$95,264 Wol.
NASDAQ
90%
Other
7%
NYSE
2%
NASDAQ 90%
Other 7.0%
NYSE 1.9%
$95,264 Wol.
$95,264 Wol.
NASDAQ
$18,630 Wol.
90%
Other
$57,923 Wol.
7%
NYSE
$18,710 Wol.
2%
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nasdaq's recent rule amendments, effective May 1, 2026, enabling rapid inclusion of mega-IPOs like SpaceX into the Nasdaq 100 index just 15 days post-listing—bypassing traditional profitability and seasoning thresholds—have driven the 89.5% market-implied probability for a Nasdaq debut. SpaceX's confidential IPO filing targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation, accelerated employee share vesting from May to April, and closed-door analyst briefings signal imminent public listing, potentially by mid-June. Elon Musk's Tesla precedent on Nasdaq reinforces trader consensus, while slim odds on NYSE (1.7%) reflect its stricter criteria and nascent Texas exchange speculation in "Other" (6.8%). A late-May S-1 public filing could shift these odds amid SpaceX's Starship mission successes bolstering valuation fundamentals.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Rynek otwarty: Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Wolumen
$95,264Rynek otwarty
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Nasdaq's recent rule amendments, effective May 1, 2026, enabling rapid inclusion of mega-IPOs like SpaceX into the Nasdaq 100 index just 15 days post-listing—bypassing traditional profitability and seasoning thresholds—have driven the 89.5% market-implied probability for a Nasdaq debut. SpaceX's confidential IPO filing targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation, accelerated employee share vesting from May to April, and closed-door analyst briefings signal imminent public listing, potentially by mid-June. Elon Musk's Tesla precedent on Nasdaq reinforces trader consensus, while slim odds on NYSE (1.7%) reflect its stricter criteria and nascent Texas exchange speculation in "Other" (6.8%). A late-May S-1 public filing could shift these odds amid SpaceX's Starship mission successes bolstering valuation fundamentals.
This market will resolve to the exchange on which SpaceX’s shares first begin public trading as part of its initial public offering (IPO).
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The exchange will be determined based on the primary listing venue where SpaceX’s shares are initially listed and begin regular-way trading following its IPO.
If SpaceX lists on multiple exchanges simultaneously, the exchange designated as the primary listing venue by the company or in official exchange materials will be used for resolution.
If SpaceX lists primarily on an exchange other than the NASDAQ or the New York Stock Exchange or if it does not complete an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Announcements, reports, or indications of intended listing venue prior to the IPO will not be considered. The market will resolve based on the actual listing at the time trading begins.
The primary resolution source will be official information from SpaceX or the relevant exchange; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Wolumen
$95,264Rynek otwarty
Mar 25, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nasdaq's recent rule amendments, effective May 1, 2026, enabling rapid inclusion of mega-IPOs like SpaceX into the Nasdaq 100 index just 15 days post-listing—bypassing traditional profitability and seasoning thresholds—have driven the 89.5% market-implied probability for a Nasdaq debut. SpaceX's confidential IPO filing targeting a $1.75–2 trillion valuation, accelerated employee share vesting from May to April, and closed-door analyst briefings signal imminent public listing, potentially by mid-June. Elon Musk's Tesla precedent on Nasdaq reinforces trader consensus, while slim odds on NYSE (1.7%) reflect its stricter criteria and nascent Texas exchange speculation in "Other" (6.8%). A late-May S-1 public filing could shift these odds amid SpaceX's Starship mission successes bolstering valuation fundamentals.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Uważaj na linki zewnętrzne.
Często zadawane pytania