**OpenAI and Google hold slight edges in trader-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30, reflecting their recent frontier model updates in mathematical reasoning.** Anthropic models currently top the arena.ai math category with claude-fable-5 and opus variants scoring above 1526, creating a narrow window for the second lab. Google’s gemini-3.7 and 3.8 flash variants sit close behind at 1524 and show ongoing gains in multi-step tasks, while OpenAI’s gpt-5.5 series trades near 1502 with strong but slightly lower arena Elo. The compressed timeline to month-end limits further releases, so sentiment hinges on incremental benchmark movements and any final model tweaks from these three labs before the September 30 snapshot. Lower-probability contenders like Alibaba and Z.ai trail due to fewer recent math-focused updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoSecond-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Second-best Text Arena Math AI Lab end of September?
Google 35%
OpenAI 33.8%
Anthropic 23.6%
Alibaba 2.3%
$46,782 Wol.
$46,782 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
35%
OpenAI
34%
Anthropic
24%
Alibaba
2%
Meta
1%
Z.ai
1%
Baidu
<1%
Moonshot
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Mistral
<1%
SpaceXAI
<1%
Meituan
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Google 35%
OpenAI 33.8%
Anthropic 23.6%
Alibaba 2.3%
$46,782 Wol.
$46,782 Wol.
Sep 30, 2026
$14,563 Wol.
35%
OpenAI
$5,369 Wol.
34%
Anthropic
$4,181 Wol.
24%
Alibaba
$5,579 Wol.
2%
Meta
$1,147 Wol.
1%
Z.ai
$1,185 Wol.
1%
Baidu
$1,144 Wol.
<1%
Moonshot
$1,275 Wol.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,055 Wol.
<1%
Tencent
$1,136 Wol.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,113 Wol.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,556 Wol.
<1%
Mistral
$1,176 Wol.
<1%
SpaceXAI
$1,001 Wol.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 Wol.
<1%
StepFun
$566 Wol.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 Wol.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 Wol.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 Wol.
<1%
Amazon
$951 Wol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**OpenAI and Google hold slight edges in trader-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30, reflecting their recent frontier model updates in mathematical reasoning.** Anthropic models currently top the arena.ai math category with claude-fable-5 and opus variants scoring above 1526, creating a narrow window for the second lab. Google’s gemini-3.7 and 3.8 flash variants sit close behind at 1524 and show ongoing gains in multi-step tasks, while OpenAI’s gpt-5.5 series trades near 1502 with strong but slightly lower arena Elo. The compressed timeline to month-end limits further releases, so sentiment hinges on incremental benchmark movements and any final model tweaks from these three labs before the September 30 snapshot. Lower-probability contenders like Alibaba and Z.ai trail due to fewer recent math-focused updates.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Rynek otwarty: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Wolumen
$46,782Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".**OpenAI and Google hold slight edges in trader-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30, reflecting their recent frontier model updates in mathematical reasoning.** Anthropic models currently top the arena.ai math category with claude-fable-5 and opus variants scoring above 1526, creating a narrow window for the second lab. Google’s gemini-3.7 and 3.8 flash variants sit close behind at 1524 and show ongoing gains in multi-step tasks, while OpenAI’s gpt-5.5 series trades near 1502 with strong but slightly lower arena Elo. The compressed timeline to month-end limits further releases, so sentiment hinges on incremental benchmark movements and any final model tweaks from these three labs before the September 30 snapshot. Lower-probability contenders like Alibaba and Z.ai trail due to fewer recent math-focused updates.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Wolumen
$46,782Data zakończenia
Oct 1, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETŹródło rozstrzygnięcia
https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labsRozstrzygający
0x69c47De9D...**OpenAI and Google hold slight edges in trader-implied odds for second place on the Text Arena Math leaderboard by September 30, reflecting their recent frontier model updates in mathematical reasoning.** Anthropic models currently top the arena.ai math category with claude-fable-5 and opus variants scoring above 1526, creating a narrow window for the second lab. Google’s gemini-3.7 and 3.8 flash variants sit close behind at 1524 and show ongoing gains in multi-step tasks, while OpenAI’s gpt-5.5 series trades near 1502 with strong but slightly lower arena Elo. The compressed timeline to month-end limits further releases, so sentiment hinges on incremental benchmark movements and any final model tweaks from these three labs before the September 30 snapshot. Lower-probability contenders like Alibaba and Z.ai trail due to fewer recent math-focused updates.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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