SpaceX's confidential IPO filing with the SEC on April 1 has driven trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for its public debut before 2027, targeting a historic $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and H2 2026 timeline amid surging Starship milestones and Starlink growth. Cerebras similarly commands 96% odds, buoyed by AI chip demand. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (37%) reflect CFO Sarah Friar's recent warnings of an aggressive 2026 schedule clashing with CEO Sam Altman's push, alongside enterprise revenue shifts. Anthropic (53%) and Databricks (22%) face competitive AI pressures and valuation recalibrations. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and S-1 disclosures as key catalysts in a rebounding tech IPO market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoIPO przed 2027?
IPO przed 2027?
$5,793,580 Wol.

SpaceX
96%

Cerebras
93%

Discord
57%

Anthropic
53%

Zdalnie
42%

OpenAI
34%

SHEIN
25%

Ledger
25%

Databricks
22%

Applied Intuition
21%

Deel
27%

Canva
21%

Ramp
20%

Epic Games
20%

Freddie Mac
16%

Waymo
15%

Anysphere (Cursor)
13%

Ripple Labs
13%

Stripe
13%

Rippling
12%

Mistral AI
12%

ByteDance
12%

Glean
11%

Fannie Mae
11%

Vanta
11%

Celonis
10%

Anduril Industries
9%

Anduril
9%

Revolut
9%

Brex
4%

WHOOP
56%
$5,793,580 Wol.

SpaceX
96%

Cerebras
93%

Discord
57%

Anthropic
53%

Zdalnie
42%

OpenAI
34%

SHEIN
25%

Ledger
25%

Databricks
22%

Applied Intuition
21%

Deel
27%

Canva
21%

Ramp
20%

Epic Games
20%

Freddie Mac
16%

Waymo
15%

Anysphere (Cursor)
13%

Ripple Labs
13%

Stripe
13%

Rippling
12%

Mistral AI
12%

ByteDance
12%

Glean
11%

Fannie Mae
11%

Vanta
11%

Celonis
10%

Anduril Industries
9%

Anduril
9%

Revolut
9%

Brex
4%

WHOOP
56%
If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Rynek otwarty: Nov 12, 2025, 4:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...If the listed company merges with another entity, is acquired, or ceases to exist before the market resolves, the market will also resolve to "No".
This market will resolve early if the listed company completes an IPO by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...SpaceX's confidential IPO filing with the SEC on April 1 has driven trader consensus to a 95% implied probability for its public debut before 2027, targeting a historic $1.75 trillion-plus valuation and H2 2026 timeline amid surging Starship milestones and Starlink growth. Cerebras similarly commands 96% odds, buoyed by AI chip demand. Lower probabilities for OpenAI (37%) reflect CFO Sarah Friar's recent warnings of an aggressive 2026 schedule clashing with CEO Sam Altman's push, alongside enterprise revenue shifts. Anthropic (53%) and Databricks (22%) face competitive AI pressures and valuation recalibrations. Traders eye Q2 roadshows and S-1 disclosures as key catalysts in a rebounding tech IPO market.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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