Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's commanding fundraising lead—over $1.1 million raised and $850,000 cash on hand—bolsters trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87.5% to retain California's 21st Congressional District in the November 3 general election. The Central Valley seat, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris prevailing 52-46 in recent presidential results, shifted slightly leftward after March 2026 redistricting under Proposition 50. Facing split Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios in the June 2 top-two primary, Costa's moderation on agriculture and water issues appeals to the district's 41% Democratic to 27% Republican voter registration advantage, echoing his 53-47% 2024 reelection margin. No recent polling or scandals alter this structural edge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoCA-21 House Election Winner
CA-21 House Election Winner
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
12%
NOWE
NOWE
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$897 Wol.
88%
Republican Party
$0 Wol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's commanding fundraising lead—over $1.1 million raised and $850,000 cash on hand—bolsters trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87.5% to retain California's 21st Congressional District in the November 3 general election. The Central Valley seat, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris prevailing 52-46 in recent presidential results, shifted slightly leftward after March 2026 redistricting under Proposition 50. Facing split Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios in the June 2 top-two primary, Costa's moderation on agriculture and water issues appeals to the district's 41% Democratic to 27% Republican voter registration advantage, echoing his 53-47% 2024 reelection margin. No recent polling or scandals alter this structural edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Wolumen
$897Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's commanding fundraising lead—over $1.1 million raised and $850,000 cash on hand—bolsters trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87.5% to retain California's 21st Congressional District in the November 3 general election. The Central Valley seat, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris prevailing 52-46 in recent presidential results, shifted slightly leftward after March 2026 redistricting under Proposition 50. Facing split Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios in the June 2 top-two primary, Costa's moderation on agriculture and water issues appeals to the district's 41% Democratic to 27% Republican voter registration advantage, echoing his 53-47% 2024 reelection margin. No recent polling or scandals alter this structural edge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-21 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$897Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Jim Costa's commanding fundraising lead—over $1.1 million raised and $850,000 cash on hand—bolsters trader consensus favoring the Democratic Party at 87.5% to retain California's 21st Congressional District in the November 3 general election. The Central Valley seat, rated Likely Democratic by Cook Political Report with a D+4 Cook Partisan Voter Index and Kamala Harris prevailing 52-46 in recent presidential results, shifted slightly leftward after March 2026 redistricting under Proposition 50. Facing split Republican challengers Kyle Kirkland and Lorenzo Rios in the June 2 top-two primary, Costa's moderation on agriculture and water issues appeals to the district's 41% Democratic to 27% Republican voter registration advantage, echoing his 53-47% 2024 reelection margin. No recent polling or scandals alter this structural edge.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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