Democratic Representative Troy Carter seeks re-election in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt evidenced by its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles centered on New Orleans and surrounding areas. The April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated the prior congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting rescheduling of primaries to November 3 with a possible December 12 runoff and a shift toward closed partisan primaries. No Republican candidates have filed, leaving only Democratic primary challengers including Renada Collins. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition, underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an 88% implied probability of retaining the seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · ZaktualizowanoLA-02 House Election Winner
LA-02 House Election Winner
$41,894 Wol.
$41,894 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
88%
Republican Party
6%
$41,894 Wol.
$41,894 Wol.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,998 Wol.
88%
Republican Party
$19,896 Wol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Representative Troy Carter seeks re-election in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt evidenced by its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles centered on New Orleans and surrounding areas. The April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated the prior congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting rescheduling of primaries to November 3 with a possible December 12 runoff and a shift toward closed partisan primaries. No Republican candidates have filed, leaving only Democratic primary challengers including Renada Collins. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition, underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an 88% implied probability of retaining the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Rynek otwarty: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Wolumen
$41,894Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic Representative Troy Carter seeks re-election in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt evidenced by its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles centered on New Orleans and surrounding areas. The April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated the prior congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting rescheduling of primaries to November 3 with a possible December 12 runoff and a shift toward closed partisan primaries. No Republican candidates have filed, leaving only Democratic primary challengers including Renada Collins. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition, underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an 88% implied probability of retaining the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the LA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Wolumen
$41,894Data zakończenia
Nov 3, 2026Rynek otwarty
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic Representative Troy Carter seeks re-election in Louisiana's 2nd congressional district, a seat with a pronounced Democratic tilt evidenced by its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent performance in recent cycles centered on New Orleans and surrounding areas. The April 2026 Supreme Court ruling in Louisiana v. Callais invalidated the prior congressional map as an unconstitutional racial gerrymander, prompting rescheduling of primaries to November 3 with a possible December 12 runoff and a shift toward closed partisan primaries. No Republican candidates have filed, leaving only Democratic primary challengers including Renada Collins. These structural factors, combined with the incumbent's fundraising edge and the absence of competitive opposition, underpin trader consensus assigning the Democratic Party an 88% implied probability of retaining the seat.
Eksperymentalne podsumowanie AI odwołujące się do danych Polymarket. To nie jest porada handlowa i nie ma wpływu na rozstrzyganie tego rynku. · Zaktualizowano
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