Trump approval rating on June 6?
$105,137 Vol.
46.5–46.9% 100.0%
<45% <1%
45.0–45.4% <1%
45.5–45.9% <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<45%
$22,056 Vol.
No
<45%
$22,056 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$21,035 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$21,035 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$17,052 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$17,052 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$9,825 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$9,825 Vol.
No
46.5–46.9%
$13,115 Vol.
Yes
46.5–46.9%
$13,115 Vol.
Yes
47%+
$22,054 Vol.
No
47%+
$22,054 Vol.
No
Rules
This market will resolve according to Silver Bulletin's approval rating for Donald Trump on June 6, 2025.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Note that the approval ratings for this date must be finalized before it is considered for this market (namely once the next data point is available, the previous one is finalized).
This market's resolution source will be Silver Bulletin' approval rating poll aggregator, https://www.natesilver.net/p/trump-approval-ratings-nate-silver-bulletin, specifically the approval rating indicated by the green trend line for the resolution date. Changes in the methodology by which Silver Bulletin calculates the approval rating will have no bearing on the resolution of this market. If Silver Bulletin's approval rating becomes permanently unavailable, RealClearPolitics will be used.
The resolution source reports the rating value to only one decimal point (e.g. 42.8%, 33.9%, etc). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Created At: May 30, 2025, 7:23 PM UTC
Volume
$105,137End Date
Jun 6, 2025Created At
May 30, 2025, 7:23 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: No
No dispute
Final outcome: No
$105,137 Vol.
Trump approval rating on June 6?
46.5–46.9% 100.0%
<45% <1%
45.0–45.4% <1%
45.5–45.9% <1%
<45%
$22,056 Vol.
No
45.0–45.4%
$21,035 Vol.
No
45.5–45.9%
$17,052 Vol.
No
46.0–46.4%
$9,825 Vol.
No
46.5–46.9%
$13,115 Vol.
Yes
47%+
$22,054 Vol.
No
About
Volume
$105,137End Date
Jun 6, 2025Created At
May 30, 2025, 7:23 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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