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What will Sam Altman say during TBPN on October 10?

$12,450 Vol.

OUTCOMERESULT

Rules

Sam Altman is scheduled to appear on TBPN on October 10, at 12:00 PM ET with Bill Peebles: https://x.com/tbpn/status/1975627201044476123

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman says the listed term at any point during his scheduled appearance on TBPN. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If old clips or prerecorded videos are played during this appearance where Sam Altman is speaking, those clips will not count toward this market's resolution. Only live recorded footage for the specified appearance will qualify.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

Sam Altman is scheduled to appear on TBPN on October 10, at 12:00 PM ET with Bill Peebles: https://x.com/tbpn/status/1975627201044476123

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Altman says the listed term at any point during his scheduled appearance on TBPN. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

If old clips or prerecorded videos are played during this appearance where Sam Altman is speaking, those clips will not count toward this market's resolution. Only live-recorded footage of the specified appearance will qualify.

Any usage of the term regardless of context will count toward the resolution of this market.

Pluralization/possessive of the term will count toward the resolution of this market, however other forms will NOT count.

Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g. joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy").

If this market requires a specified number of mentions of a person’s first or last name, a full-name mention will count as one mention (e.g., if a market is about “Joe / Biden 5+ times,” a mention of “Joe Biden” will count once).

This market may only resolve to "No" if the specified appearance has been published in its entirety and the "Yes" condition has not been met. If the appearance has not aired in its entirety by October 10, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on what has aired up to that point. If no appearance is aired by this time, or if it is otherwise definitively cancelled by Sam Altman or TBPN, this market will resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be audio/video of the appearance.
Volume
$12,450
End Date
Oct 10, 2025
Created At
Oct 8, 2025, 4:50 PM UTC

Outcome proposed: No

No dispute

Final outcome: No

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$12,450 Vol.

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What will Sam Altman say during TBPN on October 10?

GPT 7+ times

$2,820 Vol.

Yes

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OpenAI 5+ times

$1,050 Vol.

No

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Sora 5+ times

$2,417 Vol.

No

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AMD

$612 Vol.

No

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Claude / Gemini / Grok

$1,151 Vol.

No

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Nvidia

$840 Vol.

No

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Trump

$520 Vol.

No

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TikTok

$127 Vol.

No

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Agent

$314 Vol.

No

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Meme

$33 Vol.

No

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Elon / Musk

$46 Vol.

No

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Copyright / DMCA

$52 Vol.

No

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Codex

$465 Vol.

No

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Browser

$687 Vol.

No

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Crypto / Bitcoin

$1,314 Vol.

No

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About

Volume
$12,450
End Date
Oct 10, 2025
Created At
Oct 8, 2025, 4:50 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.