Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 14.5% implied probability to win the green jacket at Augusta National, buoyed by his world No. 1 OWGR status, two prior Masters victories (2022, 2024), and unmatched course history with no finish outside the top 20 in six starts, plus a streak of 68 consecutive PGA Tour cuts made entering the week. Yet the market remains tightly bunched, with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) close behind on robust LIV Golf form and elite strokes gained tee-to-green numbers over the past three months—joining Rory McIlroy (6.5%) and others like Ludvig Aberg and Matt Fitzpatrick in a deep field of 11 such ball-strikers. Recent Players Championship winner Cameron Young (3.3%) adds momentum, underscoring Augusta's unpredictability amid practice rounds and minor injury concerns like Collin Morikawa's lingering back issue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · UpdatedScottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,832,170 Vol.
$61,832,170 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Jason Day
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Max Homa
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
Scottie Scheffler 15%
Bryson Dechambeau 8%
Jon Rahm 7.4%
Rory McIlroy 7%
$61,832,170 Vol.
$61,832,170 Vol.
Scottie Scheffler
15%
Bryson Dechambeau
8%
Jon Rahm
7%
Rory McIlroy
7%
Ludvig Aberg
5%
Xander Schauffele
5%
Matt Fitzpatrick
4%
Tommy Fleetwood
3%
Cameron Young
3%
Justin Rose
3%
Hideki Matsuyama
3%
Collin Morikawa
3%
Jordan Spieth
2%
Akshay Bhatia
2%
Brooks Koepka
2%
Patrick Reed
2%
Sepp Straka
2%
Russell Henley
2%
Viktor Hovland
2%
Shane Lowry
2%
Robert MacIntyre
1%
Justin Thomas
1%
Nicolai Hojgaard
1%
Jason Day
1%
Min Woo Lee
1%
Joaquin Niemann
1%
Tyrrell Hatton
1%
Adam Scott
1%
Patrick Cantlay
1%
Sam Burns
1%
Maverick McNealy
1%
Sungjae Im
1%
Brian Harman
1%
Rasmus Hojgaard
1%
Cameron Smith
1%
Wyndham Clark
1%
Max Homa
1%
Will Zalatoris
1%
Corey Conners
<1%
Keegan Bradley
<1%
Tiger Woods
<1%
Tony Finau
<1%
Sahith Theegala
<1%
Sergio Garcia
<1%
Billy Horschel
<1%
Phil Mickelson
<1%
Charl Schwartzel
<1%
Aaron Rai
<1%
Bubba Watson
<1%
Dustin Johnson
<1%
Thomas Detry
<1%
Danny Willett
<1%
Tom Kim
<1%
Byeong Hun An
<1%
Fred Couples
<1%
Zach Johnson
<1%
Davis Thompson
<1%
Denny McCarthy
<1%
Taylor Pendrith
<1%
If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 28, 2025, 11:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If this player is eliminated from contention for The Masters based on the official rules of the tournament, the relevant market will resolve to "No".
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by The Masters official tournament rules.
If no winner is announced by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution sources will be the official results published by the PGA TOUR website and The Masters website. A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Scottie Scheffler tops trader consensus at 14.5% implied probability to win the green jacket at Augusta National, buoyed by his world No. 1 OWGR status, two prior Masters victories (2022, 2024), and unmatched course history with no finish outside the top 20 in six starts, plus a streak of 68 consecutive PGA Tour cuts made entering the week. Yet the market remains tightly bunched, with Bryson DeChambeau (7.5%) and Jon Rahm (7.4%) close behind on robust LIV Golf form and elite strokes gained tee-to-green numbers over the past three months—joining Rory McIlroy (6.5%) and others like Ludvig Aberg and Matt Fitzpatrick in a deep field of 11 such ball-strikers. Recent Players Championship winner Cameron Young (3.3%) adds momentum, underscoring Augusta's unpredictability amid practice rounds and minor injury concerns like Collin Morikawa's lingering back issue.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data · Updated



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