April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Lower Ranges)
$70,372 Vol.
>1.17 100.0%
<1.08 <1%
1.08-1.12 <1%
1.13-1.17 <1%
OUTCOMERESULT
<1.08
$6,639 Vol.
No
<1.08
$6,639 Vol.
No
1.08-1.12
$12,351 Vol.
No
1.08-1.12
$12,351 Vol.
No
1.13-1.17
$21,519 Vol.
No
1.13-1.17
$21,519 Vol.
No
>1.17
$29,863 Vol.
Yes
>1.17
$29,863 Vol.
Yes
Rules
This market will resolve to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for April 2025 when it is released. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
An anomaly of a named bracket for April 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2025 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
An anomaly of a named bracket for April 2025 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market to "Yes" immediately once the data becomes available regardless of whether the figure for April 2025 is later revised.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Apr" in the row "2025" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt). If NASA's "Global Temperature Index" is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used. If no information for April 2025 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve "Yes".
Created At: Apr 22, 2025, 5:24 PM UTC
Volume
$70,372End Date
Apr 30, 2025Created At
Apr 22, 2025, 5:24 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Outcome proposed: Yes
No dispute
Final outcome: Yes
$70,372 Vol.
April 2025 Temperature Increase (ºC) (Lower Ranges)
>1.17 100.0%
<1.08 <1%
1.08-1.12 <1%
1.13-1.17 <1%
<1.08
$6,639 Vol.
No
1.08-1.12
$12,351 Vol.
No
1.13-1.17
$21,519 Vol.
No
>1.17
$29,863 Vol.
Yes
About
Volume
$70,372End Date
Apr 30, 2025Created At
Apr 22, 2025, 5:24 PM UTCResolver
0x2F5e3684c...
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