Gold futures for June 2026 settlement trade near $4,200 amid a recent correction driven by stronger-than-expected U.S. payrolls data that lifted December rate-hike probabilities above 70 percent, elevating Treasury yields and the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Persistent Middle East geopolitical tensions and associated inflation risks have tempered safe-haven demand, while central-bank accumulation provides structural support that limits deeper declines. Market-implied odds cluster in the $3,800–$4,600 bands as traders price in consolidation around current levels ahead of upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications, with higher ranges discounted given the shift toward tighter-for-longer monetary policy expectations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtVàng (GC) sẽ thanh toán ở mức nào trong tháng 6?
$4,200-$4,600 47.6%
$3,800-$4,200 32.5%
$4.600-$5.000 11%
Dưới $3,800 10.1%
$1,036,722 KL.
$1,036,722 KL.
Dưới $3,800
10%
$3,800-$4,200
32%
$4,200-$4,600
48%
$4.600-$5.000
11%
$5,000-$5,400
1%
$5,400-$5,800
1%
$5.800-$6.200
1%
>$6.200
1%
$4,200-$4,600 47.6%
$3,800-$4,200 32.5%
$4.600-$5.000 11%
Dưới $3,800 10.1%
$1,036,722 KL.
$1,036,722 KL.
Dưới $3,800
10%
$3,800-$4,200
32%
$4,200-$4,600
48%
$4.600-$5.000
11%
$5,000-$5,400
1%
$5,400-$5,800
1%
$5.800-$6.200
1%
>$6.200
1%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Thị trường mở: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gold futures for June 2026 settlement trade near $4,200 amid a recent correction driven by stronger-than-expected U.S. payrolls data that lifted December rate-hike probabilities above 70 percent, elevating Treasury yields and the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion. Persistent Middle East geopolitical tensions and associated inflation risks have tempered safe-haven demand, while central-bank accumulation provides structural support that limits deeper declines. Market-implied odds cluster in the $3,800–$4,600 bands as traders price in consolidation around current levels ahead of upcoming CPI releases and FOMC communications, with higher ranges discounted given the shift toward tighter-for-longer monetary policy expectations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp