Gold futures for the June 2026 contract currently trade near $4,510, anchoring the market-implied odds with the $4,200–$4,600 bucket at 37.2% and the $4,600–$5,000 range at 32.0%. Recent price action reflects a pullback from January 2026 peaks above $5,500, driven by mixed U.S. inflation prints, shifting Fed rate-cut expectations, and fluctuating dollar strength amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and central-bank demand. Trader consensus prices in continued volatility around these levels through settlement, with key near-term catalysts including upcoming economic data releases and any FOMC communications that could alter real-yield trajectories or risk appetite. The tight spread between the top two outcomes highlights uncertainty over whether supportive macro factors will sustain prices above $4,600 or allow further consolidation lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · AtualizadoQual será o preço do ouro (GC) em junho?
$4.200-$4.600 37.2%
$4.600-$5.000 32%
$3.800-$4.200 14.9%
$5.000-$5.400 9.3%
$964,386 Vol.
$964,386 Vol.
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
2%
$3.800-$4.200
15%
$4.200-$4.600
37%
$4.600-$5.000
32%
$5.000-$5.400
9%
$5.400-$5.800
4%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>US$6.200
2%
$4.200-$4.600 37.2%
$4.600-$5.000 32%
$3.800-$4.200 14.9%
$5.000-$5.400 9.3%
$964,386 Vol.
$964,386 Vol.
Abaixo de US$ 3.800
2%
$3.800-$4.200
15%
$4.200-$4.600
37%
$4.600-$5.000
32%
$5.000-$5.400
9%
$5.400-$5.800
4%
$5.800-$6.200
2%
>US$6.200
2%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Mercado Aberto: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
Fonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
Fonte de resolução
https://www.cmegroup.com/markets/metals/precious/gold.settlements.htmlResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Gold futures for the June 2026 contract currently trade near $4,510, anchoring the market-implied odds with the $4,200–$4,600 bucket at 37.2% and the $4,600–$5,000 range at 32.0%. Recent price action reflects a pullback from January 2026 peaks above $5,500, driven by mixed U.S. inflation prints, shifting Fed rate-cut expectations, and fluctuating dollar strength amid ongoing geopolitical tensions and central-bank demand. Trader consensus prices in continued volatility around these levels through settlement, with key near-term catalysts including upcoming economic data releases and any FOMC communications that could alter real-yield trajectories or risk appetite. The tight spread between the top two outcomes highlights uncertainty over whether supportive macro factors will sustain prices above $4,600 or allow further consolidation lower.
Resumo experimental gerado por IA com dados do Polymarket. Isto não é aconselhamento de trading e não tem qualquer papel na resolução deste mercado. · Atualizado
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