Israeli forces maintain security buffer zones and conduct targeted raids against Hamas holdouts in Gaza, sustaining low-intensity operations over 30 months since the group's October 7, 2023 attacks, but no major new ground offensive has launched in the past 30 days amid stalled U.S.-mediated ceasefire negotiations. Earlier announcements, including a September 2025 push into Gaza City and planned March 2026 escalation, failed to meet "major" thresholds per market resolutions, fostering trader consensus on persistent stalemate. Hamas's refusal to fully disarm, coupled with international humanitarian concerns and UN scrutiny, weighs against rapid escalation; watch for hostage talks or Security Council sessions that could shift dynamics toward de-escalation or intensified airstrikes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$513,546 거래량
2025.10.31
6월 30일
17%
12월 31일
34%
$513,546 거래량
6월 30일
$17,925 거래량
17%
12월 31일
$18,878 거래량
34%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli forces maintain security buffer zones and conduct targeted raids against Hamas holdouts in Gaza, sustaining low-intensity operations over 30 months since the group's October 7, 2023 attacks, but no major new ground offensive has launched in the past 30 days amid stalled U.S.-mediated ceasefire negotiations. Earlier announcements, including a September 2025 push into Gaza City and planned March 2026 escalation, failed to meet "major" thresholds per market resolutions, fostering trader consensus on persistent stalemate. Hamas's refusal to fully disarm, coupled with international humanitarian concerns and UN scrutiny, weighs against rapid escalation; watch for hostage talks or Security Council sessions that could shift dynamics toward de-escalation or intensified airstrikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ET
거래량
$513,546종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by March 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Israeli forces maintain security buffer zones and conduct targeted raids against Hamas holdouts in Gaza, sustaining low-intensity operations over 30 months since the group's October 7, 2023 attacks, but no major new ground offensive has launched in the past 30 days amid stalled U.S.-mediated ceasefire negotiations. Earlier announcements, including a September 2025 push into Gaza City and planned March 2026 escalation, failed to meet "major" thresholds per market resolutions, fostering trader consensus on persistent stalemate. Hamas's refusal to fully disarm, coupled with international humanitarian concerns and UN scrutiny, weighs against rapid escalation; watch for hostage talks or Security Council sessions that could shift dynamics toward de-escalation or intensified airstrikes.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A "major ground offensive" is defined as a large-scale military operation that involves more than 1,000 Israeli ground forces entering Gazan territory that was not under Israeli control at the start of the offensive. This excludes smaller raids, special operations, or limited incursions directly bordering buffer zones already under Israeli control.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
거래량
$513,546종료일
2025.12.31마켓 개설일
Mar 18, 2026, 2:54 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli forces maintain security buffer zones and conduct targeted raids against Hamas holdouts in Gaza, sustaining low-intensity operations over 30 months since the group's October 7, 2023 attacks, but no major new ground offensive has launched in the past 30 days amid stalled U.S.-mediated ceasefire negotiations. Earlier announcements, including a September 2025 push into Gaza City and planned March 2026 escalation, failed to meet "major" thresholds per market resolutions, fostering trader consensus on persistent stalemate. Hamas's refusal to fully disarm, coupled with international humanitarian concerns and UN scrutiny, weighs against rapid escalation; watch for hostage talks or Security Council sessions that could shift dynamics toward de-escalation or intensified airstrikes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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