Trader consensus on Polymarket strongly favors "No" at 91.5% implied probability for Kanye West, aka Ye, visiting Israel by June 30, reflecting the total absence of any confirmed announcements, travel plans, or public statements indicating such a trip amid escalating backlash over his history of antisemitic remarks. In the past two weeks, European tour dates faced major disruptions—including a UK entry ban on April 7, sponsor withdrawals from London's Wireless Festival, a postponed Marseille concert, and a Poland stadium cancellation on April 17—highlighting persistent resistance from governments, venues, and Jewish advocacy groups. While Ye recently expressed openness to meeting UK Jewish leaders, no equivalent outreach to Israel has emerged. A realistic upset scenario would involve a surprise goodwill announcement tied to reconciliation efforts, though ongoing controversies and limited time until the deadline temper expectations for such a shift.