Avengers: Doomsday commands a dominant 75.5% market-implied probability for the biggest opening week of 2026 due to its December 18 release positioning it as a year-end event film, bolstered by Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans reprising key roles alongside expanded X-Men and Fantastic Four elements in a long-awaited MCU team-up. Industry tracking reports strong early momentum and insider polls naming it the likely top global earner, reflecting anticipation after a six-year Avengers hiatus. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 18.5% with its July 31 slot and Tom Holland-led new chapter, while Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey benefits from July 17 IMAX buzz and an all-star cast at 4.8%. Earlier releases like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face stiffer family-market competition, leaving limited room for shifts absent major tracking updates or release adjustments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Which movie has biggest opening week in 2026?
Avengers: Doomsday 75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 5.1%
The Odyssey 4.7%
$20,472 거래량
$20,472 거래량
2026.12.31
Avengers: Doomsday
75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
17%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
5%
The Odyssey
5%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
2%
Toy Story 5
2%
Dune: Messiah
1%
Avengers: Doomsday 75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day 22%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie 5.1%
The Odyssey 4.7%
$20,472 거래량
$20,472 거래량
2026.12.31
Avengers: Doomsday
$1,180 거래량
75%
Spider-Man: Brand New Day
$1,135 거래량
17%
The Super Mario Galaxy Movie
$1,299 거래량
5%
The Odyssey
$1,127 거래량
5%
The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping
$1,089 거래량
2%
Toy Story 5
$749 거래량
2%
Dune: Messiah
$856 거래량
1%
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands a dominant 75.5% market-implied probability for the biggest opening week of 2026 due to its December 18 release positioning it as a year-end event film, bolstered by Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans reprising key roles alongside expanded X-Men and Fantastic Four elements in a long-awaited MCU team-up. Industry tracking reports strong early momentum and insider polls naming it the likely top global earner, reflecting anticipation after a six-year Avengers hiatus. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 18.5% with its July 31 slot and Tom Holland-led new chapter, while Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey benefits from July 17 IMAX buzz and an all-star cast at 4.8%. Earlier releases like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face stiffer family-market competition, leaving limited room for shifts absent major tracking updates or release adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ET
거래량
$20,472종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.Avengers: Doomsday commands a dominant 75.5% market-implied probability for the biggest opening week of 2026 due to its December 18 release positioning it as a year-end event film, bolstered by Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans reprising key roles alongside expanded X-Men and Fantastic Four elements in a long-awaited MCU team-up. Industry tracking reports strong early momentum and insider polls naming it the likely top global earner, reflecting anticipation after a six-year Avengers hiatus. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 18.5% with its July 31 slot and Tom Holland-led new chapter, while Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey benefits from July 17 IMAX buzz and an all-star cast at 4.8%. Earlier releases like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face stiffer family-market competition, leaving limited room for shifts absent major tracking updates or release adjustments.
This market will resolve according to the title of the movie which grosses more domestically on its opening week than any other movie in 2026. The “Weekly Box Office Performance” table on the page for the relevant movie on https://www.the-numbers.com/box-office will be used to resolve this market once the values for the opening week are final (i.e. not studio estimates).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the relevant movie grosses more on its domestic opening week than any other movie in 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Please note, this market will resolve according to the The Numbers figures provided under Weekly Box Office Performance for the opening week, regardless of whether domestic refers to only the USA, or to USA and Canada, etc.
Resolution will be based specifically on the figures provided for this movie's opening week.
If another movie's opening week box office performance surpasses that of the named movie after numbers for both are finalized, this market may immediately resolve to "No".
If this movie's opening weekend box office performance ties with any other's, the movie whose title comes first in alphabetical order will win.
If there is no final data available by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, another credible resolution source will be chosen.
거래량
$20,472종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 3:17 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Avengers: Doomsday commands a dominant 75.5% market-implied probability for the biggest opening week of 2026 due to its December 18 release positioning it as a year-end event film, bolstered by Robert Downey Jr. and Chris Evans reprising key roles alongside expanded X-Men and Fantastic Four elements in a long-awaited MCU team-up. Industry tracking reports strong early momentum and insider polls naming it the likely top global earner, reflecting anticipation after a six-year Avengers hiatus. Spider-Man: Brand New Day follows at 18.5% with its July 31 slot and Tom Holland-led new chapter, while Christopher Nolan’s The Odyssey benefits from July 17 IMAX buzz and an all-star cast at 4.8%. Earlier releases like The Super Mario Galaxy Movie face stiffer family-market competition, leaving limited room for shifts absent major tracking updates or release adjustments.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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