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2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?

Market icon

2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$317,303 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$317,303 Vol.

Polymarket

크리스티 노엠

$11,569 Vol.

43%

하워드 루트닉

$25,639 Vol.

42%

댄 스카비노

$1 Vol.

41%

존 래트클리프

$1 Vol.

39%

데이비드 색스

$0 Vol.

39%

툴시 가버드

$1,515 Vol.

44%

팸 본디

$34,397 Vol.

35%

로버트 F. 케네디 주니어

$60,452 Vol.

34%

카쉬 파텔

$111,152 Vol.

33%

카롤라인 리빗

$6,938 Vol.

32%

수지 와일스

$31,020 Vol.

26%

피트 헥시스

$3,558 Vol.

26%

스티븐 밀러

$457 Vol.

19%

러셀 보우트

$117 Vol.

17%

스콧 베센트

$356 Vol.

18%

마르코 루비오

$1,692 Vol.

16%

리 젤딘

$23,265 Vol.

15%

톰 호만

$28 Vol.

20%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels.

The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.
볼륨
$317,303
종료일
Dec 31, 2026
생성일
Nov 5, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
This market will resolve to “Yes” if it is announced that that the listed individual will leave the Trump Administration, or otherwise ceases to be a member of administration by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of the listed individual's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The Trump administration includes individuals formally appointed by Donald Trump to roles within the U.S. federal government, such as Cabinet members, Executive Office staff, senior policy advisors, ambassadors, or White House staff whose appointments are publicly announced by official government channels. The primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration, however a consensus of credible reopening may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "댄 본지노" at 100%, followed by "툴시 가버드" at 44%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?" has generated $317.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Nov 5, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?" is "댄 본지노" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "툴시 가버드" at 44%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "2027년 이전에 누가 트럼프 행정부를 떠날 것인가?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.