Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Uber Technologies recording approximately 3.2 billion trips in Q1 2026 at 94% implied probability, reflecting seasonal normalization from Q4 2025's robust 3.8 billion trips, up 22% year-over-year amid 18% growth in monthly active platform consumers. This pricing aligns with Q1 gross bookings guidance of $52.0-53.5 billion, implying 17-21% expansion and modest acceleration from Q1 2025's 3.04 billion trips, driven by mobility segment strength and ex-urban demand gains. Ahead of the May 6 earnings release—confirming the resolution metric—traders eye potential upside from pricing tailwinds and delivery momentum, though macroeconomic softening in rideshare volume could pressure the lower bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.05.06
3.2B
98%
3.4B
96%
3.6B
86%
3.8B
12%
4B
6%
4.2B
2%
4.4B
4%
4.6B
2%
4.8B
1%
5B
<1%
$9,138 거래량
3.2B
$1,644 거래량
98%
3.4B
$888 거래량
96%
3.6B
$157 거래량
86%
3.8B
$3,394 거래량
12%
4B
$185 거래량
6%
4.2B
$71 거래량
2%
4.4B
$104 거래량
4%
4.6B
$262 거래량
2%
4.8B
$948 거래량
1%
5B
$1,515 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Uber Technologies recording approximately 3.2 billion trips in Q1 2026 at 94% implied probability, reflecting seasonal normalization from Q4 2025's robust 3.8 billion trips, up 22% year-over-year amid 18% growth in monthly active platform consumers. This pricing aligns with Q1 gross bookings guidance of $52.0-53.5 billion, implying 17-21% expansion and modest acceleration from Q1 2025's 3.04 billion trips, driven by mobility segment strength and ex-urban demand gains. Ahead of the May 6 earnings release—confirming the resolution metric—traders eye potential upside from pricing tailwinds and delivery momentum, though macroeconomic softening in rideshare volume could pressure the lower bins.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
마켓 개설일: Apr 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ET
거래량
$9,138종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Uber Technologies recording approximately 3.2 billion trips in Q1 2026 at 94% implied probability, reflecting seasonal normalization from Q4 2025's robust 3.8 billion trips, up 22% year-over-year amid 18% growth in monthly active platform consumers. This pricing aligns with Q1 gross bookings guidance of $52.0-53.5 billion, implying 17-21% expansion and modest acceleration from Q1 2025's 3.04 billion trips, driven by mobility segment strength and ex-urban demand gains. Ahead of the May 6 earnings release—confirming the resolution metric—traders eye potential upside from pricing tailwinds and delivery momentum, though macroeconomic softening in rideshare volume could pressure the lower bins.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Uber’s total number of trips for the first fiscal quarter of 2026, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered.
If the specified company’s official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
If the specified metric is reported as a range rather than a specific number, the midpoint of the range will be used for resolution of this market.
The resolution source for this market is Uber’s official company earnings materials, including press releases, investor presentations, and regulatory filings. If the specified metric is not reported in these materials, recordings or transcripts of the company’s earnings webcast may also be used.
Note: This market will resolve based on the most numerically precise version of the specified metric reported in the company’s official earnings materials. Only the specified metric will be considered; alternate versions that differ in definition or scope from the specified metric will not be considered.
거래량
$9,138종료일
2026.05.06마켓 개설일
Apr 14, 2026, 2:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Uber Technologies recording approximately 3.2 billion trips in Q1 2026 at 94% implied probability, reflecting seasonal normalization from Q4 2025's robust 3.8 billion trips, up 22% year-over-year amid 18% growth in monthly active platform consumers. This pricing aligns with Q1 gross bookings guidance of $52.0-53.5 billion, implying 17-21% expansion and modest acceleration from Q1 2025's 3.04 billion trips, driven by mobility segment strength and ex-urban demand gains. Ahead of the May 6 earnings release—confirming the resolution metric—traders eye potential upside from pricing tailwinds and delivery momentum, though macroeconomic softening in rideshare volume could pressure the lower bins.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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