SpaceX's confidential IPO filing earlier this month, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and potentially up to $2 trillion while raising $75 billion, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a 1T+ closing market cap, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting real-money bets on sustained momentum from Starlink's rapid subscriber growth and Starship's impending V3 test flights. Recent private share trades at $512 imply a $1.21 trillion valuation, bolstered by a February xAI merger enhancing AI-driven space ops. Key catalysts include investor site visits and a possible June pricing, but risks like SEC review delays, macroeconomic volatility, or Starship mishaps could pressure shares below 1T or postpone the offering before 2028.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트1조+ 94%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음 3.2%
9,000억–1조 1.2%
5,000억 미만 <1%
$3,069,434 거래량
$3,069,434 거래량
2027.12.31
5,000억 미만
<1%
5,000억~6,000억
<1%
6,000억–7,000억
<1%
7,000억–8,000억
<1%
8,000억–9,000억
<1%
9,000억–1조
1%
1조+
94%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
3%
1조+ 94%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음 3.2%
9,000억–1조 1.2%
5,000억 미만 <1%
$3,069,434 거래량
$3,069,434 거래량
2027.12.31
5,000억 미만
$352,291 거래량
<1%
5,000억~6,000억
$279,884 거래량
<1%
6,000억–7,000억
$244,132 거래량
<1%
7,000억–8,000억
$275,893 거래량
<1%
8,000억–9,000억
$445,665 거래량
<1%
9,000억–1조
$380,401 거래량
1%
1조+
$545,148 거래량
94%
2028년 이전에는 상장 없음
$546,020 거래량
3%
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing earlier this month, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and potentially up to $2 trillion while raising $75 billion, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a 1T+ closing market cap, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting real-money bets on sustained momentum from Starlink's rapid subscriber growth and Starship's impending V3 test flights. Recent private share trades at $512 imply a $1.21 trillion valuation, bolstered by a February xAI merger enhancing AI-driven space ops. Key catalysts include investor site visits and a possible June pricing, but risks like SEC review delays, macroeconomic volatility, or Starship mishaps could pressure shares below 1T or postpone the offering before 2028.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
마켓 개설일: Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ET
거래량
$3,069,434종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.SpaceX's confidential IPO filing earlier this month, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and potentially up to $2 trillion while raising $75 billion, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a 1T+ closing market cap, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting real-money bets on sustained momentum from Starlink's rapid subscriber growth and Starship's impending V3 test flights. Recent private share trades at $512 imply a $1.21 trillion valuation, bolstered by a February xAI merger enhancing AI-driven space ops. Key catalysts include investor site visits and a possible June pricing, but risks like SEC review delays, macroeconomic volatility, or Starship mishaps could pressure shares below 1T or postpone the offering before 2028.
This market will resolve based on SpaceX's market capitalization at the closing price on its first day of trading.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
If no SpaceX IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before 2028".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on SpaceX’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
거래량
$3,069,434종료일
2027.12.31마켓 개설일
Dec 5, 2025, 8:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...SpaceX's confidential IPO filing earlier this month, targeting a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and potentially up to $2 trillion while raising $75 billion, has driven overwhelming trader consensus toward a 1T+ closing market cap, with 93.5% implied probability reflecting real-money bets on sustained momentum from Starlink's rapid subscriber growth and Starship's impending V3 test flights. Recent private share trades at $512 imply a $1.21 trillion valuation, bolstered by a February xAI merger enhancing AI-driven space ops. Key catalysts include investor site visits and a possible June pricing, but risks like SEC review delays, macroeconomic volatility, or Starship mishaps could pressure shares below 1T or postpone the offering before 2028.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
외부 링크에 주의하세요.
자주 묻는 질문