Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June silver (SI) settlement, with $70-$80 at 24.8% implied probability edging $60-$70 at 22.2%, reflecting spot prices near $74/oz and June COMEX futures (SIM26) around $75-77 as of May 6, 2026. Strong industrial demand from solar panel production and energy transition—bolstered by Silver Institute's 2026 supply deficit warnings—supports upside alongside gold's rally above $4,500/oz amid Middle East tensions. However, hawkish Fed signals and USD resilience cap gains, fostering volatility. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and FOMC policy stance, with consensus eyeing modest $75-85 range barring inflation surprises or geopolitical escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$70~$80 24.8%
$60-$70 22.2%
$80-$90 20%
$100-$115 12%
$519,446 거래량
$519,446 거래량
<$50
5%
$50-$60
5%
$60-$70
22%
$70~$80
25%
$80-$90
20%
$90-$100
11%
$100-$115
12%
$115 이상
7%
$70~$80 24.8%
$60-$70 22.2%
$80-$90 20%
$100-$115 12%
$519,446 거래량
$519,446 거래량
<$50
5%
$50-$60
5%
$60-$70
22%
$70~$80
25%
$80-$90
20%
$90-$100
11%
$100-$115
12%
$115 이상
7%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Silver (SI) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (March, May, July, September, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month becomes a non-active month effective on its First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Silver (SI) futures.
Polymarket traders price a tight contest for June silver (SI) settlement, with $70-$80 at 24.8% implied probability edging $60-$70 at 22.2%, reflecting spot prices near $74/oz and June COMEX futures (SIM26) around $75-77 as of May 6, 2026. Strong industrial demand from solar panel production and energy transition—bolstered by Silver Institute's 2026 supply deficit warnings—supports upside alongside gold's rally above $4,500/oz amid Middle East tensions. However, hawkish Fed signals and USD resilience cap gains, fostering volatility. Key swing factors include upcoming May CPI data and FOMC policy stance, with consensus eyeing modest $75-85 range barring inflation surprises or geopolitical escalation.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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