Geopolitical supply shocks from the Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day in production shut-ins across Gulf states, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices. These disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting benchmarks near $90–106 per barrel into late May. EIA data show Brent averaging around $106 in May–June before expected moderation as flows gradually resume. Weekly EIA and API inventory reports, refinery utilization rates, and any diplomatic progress on reopening the strait represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied path for end-of-June settlement levels. Longer-term oversupply signals from non-OPEC growth continue to cap upside beyond the immediate disruption premium.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 말 ___ 이상의 원유 (CL)?
6월 말 ___ 이상의 원유 (CL)?
$126,144 거래량
2026.06.30
$90
40%
$85
54%
80달러
73%
$75
88%
$70
89%
$65
92%
$63
96%
$60
93%
$56
98%
$55
95%
$52
98%
$50
97%
$126,144 거래량
$90
$25,838 거래량
40%
$85
$5,727 거래량
54%
80달러
$5,907 거래량
73%
$75
$16,668 거래량
88%
$70
$19,604 거래량
89%
$65
$872 거래량
92%
$63
$8,961 거래량
96%
$60
$21,068 거래량
93%
$56
$4,950 거래량
98%
$55
$2,914 거래량
95%
$52
$6,024 거래량
98%
$50
$7,610 거래량
97%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply shocks from the Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day in production shut-ins across Gulf states, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices. These disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting benchmarks near $90–106 per barrel into late May. EIA data show Brent averaging around $106 in May–June before expected moderation as flows gradually resume. Weekly EIA and API inventory reports, refinery utilization rates, and any diplomatic progress on reopening the strait represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied path for end-of-June settlement levels. Longer-term oversupply signals from non-OPEC growth continue to cap upside beyond the immediate disruption premium.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$126,144종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Geopolitical supply shocks from the Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day in production shut-ins across Gulf states, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices. These disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting benchmarks near $90–106 per barrel into late May. EIA data show Brent averaging around $106 in May–June before expected moderation as flows gradually resume. Weekly EIA and API inventory reports, refinery utilization rates, and any diplomatic progress on reopening the strait represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied path for end-of-June settlement levels. Longer-term oversupply signals from non-OPEC growth continue to cap upside beyond the immediate disruption premium.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
거래량
$126,144종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETGeopolitical supply shocks from the Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz and over 10 million barrels per day in production shut-ins across Gulf states, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude prices. These disruptions have triggered sharp inventory draws of roughly 8.5 million barrels per day in Q2 2026, supporting benchmarks near $90–106 per barrel into late May. EIA data show Brent averaging around $106 in May–June before expected moderation as flows gradually resume. Weekly EIA and API inventory reports, refinery utilization rates, and any diplomatic progress on reopening the strait represent key near-term catalysts that could shift the market-implied path for end-of-June settlement levels. Longer-term oversupply signals from non-OPEC growth continue to cap upside beyond the immediate disruption premium.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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