Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 말 ___ 이상의 원유 (CL)?
6월 말 ___ 이상의 원유 (CL)?
$147,881 거래량
2026.06.30
$90
8%
$85
16%
80달러
32%
$75
67%
$70
86%
$65
93%
$63
95%
$60
97%
$56
99%
$55
97%
$52
99%
$50
99%
$147,881 거래량
$90
$29,398 거래량
8%
$85
$9,144 거래량
16%
80달러
$7,105 거래량
32%
$75
$19,037 거래량
67%
$70
$20,894 거래량
86%
$65
$1,045 거래량
93%
$63
$9,521 거래량
95%
$60
$26,847 거래량
97%
$56
$5,338 거래량
99%
$55
$3,806 거래량
97%
$52
$6,596 거래량
99%
$50
$9,150 거래량
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$147,881종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Recent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
거래량
$147,881종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETRecent U.S.-Iran diplomatic progress to reopen the Strait of Hormuz has triggered sharp declines in WTI crude, with July futures trading near $75 per barrel after dropping more than 4% in mid-June amid expectations of restored Middle East supply flows. This follows earlier 2026 spikes above $100 driven by production outages exceeding 11 million barrels per day and record inventory draws. Global demand forecasts have been trimmed, with OPEC set to release its updated World Oil Outlook on June 18, while EIA projections highlight potential oversupply once flows normalize. Traders are pricing limited near-term support from summer demand against easing geopolitical risk premiums, with June 30 settlement sensitive to any final deal timelines or weekly inventory releases.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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