Trader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) prices exceeding key thresholds by end-June 2026 hinges on recent Middle East de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, where initial disruption fears drove Brent above $116 per barrel early May before a 4-7% pullback to around $107-110, with June CL futures settling near $95 after sharp declines. Bullish US inventory draws of 2.3 million barrels for the week ended May 1—milder than the 3.3 million expected—coupled with OPEC+ extensions of voluntary cuts, support near-term firmness amid summer driving season demand. EIA forecasts a 2Q26 Brent peak at $115 before easing, while upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA reports, the June 7 OPEC+ review, and lingering geopolitical risks that could swing market-implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 말 ___ 이상의 원유 (CL)?
6월 말 ___ 이상의 원유 (CL)?
$118,504 거래량
2026.06.30
$90
59%
$85
65%
80달러
71%
$75
74%
$70
79%
$65
90%
$63
92%
$60
96%
$56
96%
$55
98%
$52
96%
$50
99%
$118,504 거래량
$90
$24,614 거래량
59%
$85
$5,079 거래량
65%
80달러
$5,390 거래량
71%
$75
$15,356 거래량
74%
$70
$19,198 거래량
79%
$65
$724 거래량
90%
$63
$8,853 거래량
92%
$60
$20,666 거래량
96%
$56
$4,614 거래량
96%
$55
$2,684 거래량
98%
$52
$4,598 거래량
96%
$50
$6,728 거래량
99%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) prices exceeding key thresholds by end-June 2026 hinges on recent Middle East de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, where initial disruption fears drove Brent above $116 per barrel early May before a 4-7% pullback to around $107-110, with June CL futures settling near $95 after sharp declines. Bullish US inventory draws of 2.3 million barrels for the week ended May 1—milder than the 3.3 million expected—coupled with OPEC+ extensions of voluntary cuts, support near-term firmness amid summer driving season demand. EIA forecasts a 2Q26 Brent peak at $115 before easing, while upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA reports, the June 7 OPEC+ review, and lingering geopolitical risks that could swing market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ET
거래량
$118,504종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) prices exceeding key thresholds by end-June 2026 hinges on recent Middle East de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, where initial disruption fears drove Brent above $116 per barrel early May before a 4-7% pullback to around $107-110, with June CL futures settling near $95 after sharp declines. Bullish US inventory draws of 2.3 million barrels for the week ended May 1—milder than the 3.3 million expected—coupled with OPEC+ extensions of voluntary cuts, support near-term firmness amid summer driving season demand. EIA forecasts a 2Q26 Brent peak at $115 before easing, while upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA reports, the June 7 OPEC+ review, and lingering geopolitical risks that could swing market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
거래량
$118,504종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:29 PM ETTrader sentiment on WTI crude oil (CL) prices exceeding key thresholds by end-June 2026 hinges on recent Middle East de-escalation in the Strait of Hormuz, where initial disruption fears drove Brent above $116 per barrel early May before a 4-7% pullback to around $107-110, with June CL futures settling near $95 after sharp declines. Bullish US inventory draws of 2.3 million barrels for the week ended May 1—milder than the 3.3 million expected—coupled with OPEC+ extensions of voluntary cuts, support near-term firmness amid summer driving season demand. EIA forecasts a 2Q26 Brent peak at $115 before easing, while upcoming catalysts include weekly EIA reports, the June 7 OPEC+ review, and lingering geopolitical risks that could swing market-implied probabilities.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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