Crude oil prices, currently trading near $76 per barrel for the front-month WTI contract as of June 17, 2026, reflect a balance between geopolitical supply risks and softening demand signals. Disruptions from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Israel-Iran tensions have constrained actual output from OPEC+ members despite modest quota hikes, supporting prices even as EIA data and OPEC's latest monthly report highlight reduced global demand growth forecasts for 2026. Traders are closely watching weekly U.S. inventory releases and any last-minute diplomatic developments for potential volatility into month-end, with the market-implied odds shaped by these near-term supply constraints offsetting broader economic headwinds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트6월 말까지 원유 (CL) 가 __ 을 (를) 적중할까요?
$29,496,915 거래량
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
4%
↑ $95
7%
↓ $75
82%
↓ $70
36%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
<1%
↓ $45
<1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $35
<1%
$29,496,915 거래량
↑ $200
<1%
↑ $175
1%
↑ $150
1%
↑ $140
1%
↑ $130
1%
↑ $120
1%
↑ $115
1%
↑ $110
1%
↑ $105
1%
↑ $100
4%
↑ $95
7%
↓ $75
82%
↓ $70
36%
↓ $60
2%
↓ $55
1%
↓ $52
1%
↓ $50
1%
↓ $47
<1%
↓ $45
<1%
↓ $40
<1%
↓ $35
<1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Mar 3, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Crude oil prices, currently trading near $76 per barrel for the front-month WTI contract as of June 17, 2026, reflect a balance between geopolitical supply risks and softening demand signals. Disruptions from the closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid U.S.-Israel-Iran tensions have constrained actual output from OPEC+ members despite modest quota hikes, supporting prices even as EIA data and OPEC's latest monthly report highlight reduced global demand growth forecasts for 2026. Traders are closely watching weekly U.S. inventory releases and any last-minute diplomatic developments for potential volatility into month-end, with the market-implied odds shaped by these near-term supply constraints offsetting broader economic headwinds.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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