Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 58.5% probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz and a recent U.S. crude inventory draw of 6.2 million barrels for the week ended April 24—far exceeding expectations and tightening near-term supply. June 2026 futures traded around $99.77 as of May 5, down sharply over 3% amid reports of a potential Middle East ceasefire, yet holding well above key support levels after a first-quarter surge tied to military escalations. OPEC+'s May 3 decision to boost output by 188,000 barrels per day starting June introduces modest downward pressure, but strong global demand signals and upcoming EIA data on May 7 sustain bullish sentiment for elevated settlement prices.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트원유 (CL) 는 6월에 무엇을 정산할 예정인가요?
원유 (CL) 는 6월에 무엇을 정산할 예정인가요?
>$84 이상 62%
$77-$84 18%
$70~$77 4.9%
$63-$70 3.4%
$155,270 거래량
$155,270 거래량
2026.06.30
$42 미만
2%
$42-$49
1%
$49-$56
1%
$56-$63
2%
$63-$70
3%
$70~$77
5%
$77-$84
18%
>$84 이상
62%
>$84 이상 62%
$77-$84 18%
$70~$77 4.9%
$63-$70 3.4%
$155,270 거래량
$155,270 거래량
2026.06.30
$42 미만
$17,066 거래량
2%
$42-$49
$5,793 거래량
1%
$49-$56
$6,937 거래량
1%
$56-$63
$6,364 거래량
2%
$63-$70
$19,987 거래량
3%
$70~$77
$11,658 거래량
5%
$77-$84
$12,769 거래량
18%
>$84 이상
$74,695 거래량
62%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 58.5% probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz and a recent U.S. crude inventory draw of 6.2 million barrels for the week ended April 24—far exceeding expectations and tightening near-term supply. June 2026 futures traded around $99.77 as of May 5, down sharply over 3% amid reports of a potential Middle East ceasefire, yet holding well above key support levels after a first-quarter surge tied to military escalations. OPEC+'s May 3 decision to boost output by 188,000 barrels per day starting June introduces modest downward pressure, but strong global demand signals and upcoming EIA data on May 7 sustain bullish sentiment for elevated settlement prices.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ET
거래량
$155,270종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.Trader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 58.5% probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz and a recent U.S. crude inventory draw of 6.2 million barrels for the week ended April 24—far exceeding expectations and tightening near-term supply. June 2026 futures traded around $99.77 as of May 5, down sharply over 3% amid reports of a potential Middle East ceasefire, yet holding well above key support levels after a first-quarter surge tied to military escalations. OPEC+'s May 3 decision to boost output by 188,000 barrels per day starting June introduces modest downward pressure, but strong global demand signals and upcoming EIA data on May 7 sustain bullish sentiment for elevated settlement prices.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Crude Oil futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
거래량
$155,270종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:31 PM ETTrader consensus on Polymarket prices an implied 58.5% probability for WTI crude oil (CL) settling above $84 in June, reflecting persistent geopolitical risks in the Strait of Hormuz and a recent U.S. crude inventory draw of 6.2 million barrels for the week ended April 24—far exceeding expectations and tightening near-term supply. June 2026 futures traded around $99.77 as of May 5, down sharply over 3% amid reports of a potential Middle East ceasefire, yet holding well above key support levels after a first-quarter surge tied to military escalations. OPEC+'s May 3 decision to boost output by 188,000 barrels per day starting June introduces modest downward pressure, but strong global demand signals and upcoming EIA data on May 7 sustain bullish sentiment for elevated settlement prices.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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