Gold futures for the June 2026 contract (GCM6) have traded near $4,300–$4,350 in mid-June amid elevated but stable levels following 2025's strong rally. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the $4,200–$4,600 settlement bracket at 59.3% implied probability, reflecting current price action, ongoing central bank accumulation exceeding 800 tonnes annually, and mixed safe-haven demand tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions. Secondary support for the $3,800–$4,200 range at 27% stems from recent volatility, including May dips toward $4,447 on expectations of tighter-for-longer Fed policy amid inflation pressures from energy markets. Upcoming June nonfarm payrolls and any shifts in U.S.-Iran diplomacy represent near-term catalysts that could influence final settlement within these core brackets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$4,200~$4,600 60.6%
$3,800-$4,200 26.9%
$4,600~$5,000 13.0%
$3,800 미만 1.1%
$1,067,854 거래량
$1,067,854 거래량
2026.06.30
$3,800 미만
1%
$3,800-$4,200
27%
$4,200~$4,600
60%
$4,600~$5,000
13%
$5,000~$5,400
1%
$5,400~$5,800
1%
$5,800~$6,200
<1%
6,200달러 초과
<1%
$4,200~$4,600 60.6%
$3,800-$4,200 26.9%
$4,600~$5,000 13.0%
$3,800 미만 1.1%
$1,067,854 거래량
$1,067,854 거래량
2026.06.30
$3,800 미만
$247,127 거래량
1%
$3,800-$4,200
$72,110 거래량
27%
$4,200~$4,600
$66,671 거래량
60%
$4,600~$5,000
$64,114 거래량
13%
$5,000~$5,400
$80,388 거래량
1%
$5,400~$5,800
$67,988 거래량
1%
$5,800~$6,200
$255,800 거래량
<1%
6,200달러 초과
$213,655 거래량
<1%
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures for the June 2026 contract (GCM6) have traded near $4,300–$4,350 in mid-June amid elevated but stable levels following 2025's strong rally. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the $4,200–$4,600 settlement bracket at 59.3% implied probability, reflecting current price action, ongoing central bank accumulation exceeding 800 tonnes annually, and mixed safe-haven demand tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions. Secondary support for the $3,800–$4,200 range at 27% stems from recent volatility, including May dips toward $4,447 on expectations of tighter-for-longer Fed policy amid inflation pressures from energy markets. Upcoming June nonfarm payrolls and any shifts in U.S.-Iran diplomacy represent near-term catalysts that could influence final settlement within these core brackets.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
거래량
$1,067,854종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures for the June 2026 contract (GCM6) have traded near $4,300–$4,350 in mid-June amid elevated but stable levels following 2025's strong rally. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the $4,200–$4,600 settlement bracket at 59.3% implied probability, reflecting current price action, ongoing central bank accumulation exceeding 800 tonnes annually, and mixed safe-haven demand tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions. Secondary support for the $3,800–$4,200 range at 27% stems from recent volatility, including May dips toward $4,447 on expectations of tighter-for-longer Fed policy amid inflation pressures from energy markets. Upcoming June nonfarm payrolls and any shifts in U.S.-Iran diplomacy represent near-term catalysts that could influence final settlement within these core brackets.
This market will resolve according to the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the final trading day of the month is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the official settlement price published for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If no settlement price is published for that session, the market will use the most recent published settlement for the Active Month during June.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for the relevant trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
거래량
$1,067,854종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETGold futures for the June 2026 contract (GCM6) have traded near $4,300–$4,350 in mid-June amid elevated but stable levels following 2025's strong rally. Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors the $4,200–$4,600 settlement bracket at 59.3% implied probability, reflecting current price action, ongoing central bank accumulation exceeding 800 tonnes annually, and mixed safe-haven demand tied to Middle East geopolitical tensions. Secondary support for the $3,800–$4,200 range at 27% stems from recent volatility, including May dips toward $4,447 on expectations of tighter-for-longer Fed policy amid inflation pressures from energy markets. Upcoming June nonfarm payrolls and any shifts in U.S.-Iran diplomacy represent near-term catalysts that could influence final settlement within these core brackets.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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