Gold futures (GC) have rallied sharply to a May 7 settlement near $4,736 per ounce, up over 4% in the past week on U.S. dollar weakness and robust central bank purchases from emerging markets shifting reserves away from the dollar. With spot prices at $4,739/oz, trader consensus on Polymarket prices an elevated implied probability above $4,600 by end-June, buoyed by the Federal Reserve's steady 3.50%-3.75% fed funds rate amid cooling inflation trends but cautious Chair Powell signaling no near-term cuts. Key catalysts include May CPI data on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where persistent labor strength or renewed price pressures could bolster real yields and cap upside, while softer data might spur rate cut bets favoring gold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$69,464 거래량
2026.06.30
$8,000
4%
$7,000
3%
$6,500
3%
$6,200
3%
$6,000
5%
$5,800
7%
$5,600
11%
$5,400
11%
$5,200
20%
$5,000
32%
$4,800
49%
$4,600
68%
$69,464 거래량
$8,000
$2,085 거래량
4%
$7,000
$22,419 거래량
3%
$6,500
$2,400 거래량
3%
$6,200
$7,589 거래량
3%
$6,000
$2,722 거래량
5%
$5,800
$7,512 거래량
7%
$5,600
$2,429 거래량
11%
$5,400
$1,229 거래량
11%
$5,200
$2,897 거래량
20%
$5,000
$1,663 거래량
32%
$4,800
$7,774 거래량
49%
$4,600
$8,746 거래량
68%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have rallied sharply to a May 7 settlement near $4,736 per ounce, up over 4% in the past week on U.S. dollar weakness and robust central bank purchases from emerging markets shifting reserves away from the dollar. With spot prices at $4,739/oz, trader consensus on Polymarket prices an elevated implied probability above $4,600 by end-June, buoyed by the Federal Reserve's steady 3.50%-3.75% fed funds rate amid cooling inflation trends but cautious Chair Powell signaling no near-term cuts. Key catalysts include May CPI data on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where persistent labor strength or renewed price pressures could bolster real yields and cap upside, while softer data might spur rate cut bets favoring gold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
마켓 개설일: Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ET
거래량
$69,464종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.Gold futures (GC) have rallied sharply to a May 7 settlement near $4,736 per ounce, up over 4% in the past week on U.S. dollar weakness and robust central bank purchases from emerging markets shifting reserves away from the dollar. With spot prices at $4,739/oz, trader consensus on Polymarket prices an elevated implied probability above $4,600 by end-June, buoyed by the Federal Reserve's steady 3.50%-3.75% fed funds rate amid cooling inflation trends but cautious Chair Powell signaling no near-term cuts. Key catalysts include May CPI data on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where persistent labor strength or renewed price pressures could bolster real yields and cap upside, while softer data might spur rate cut bets favoring gold.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the official CME settlement price for the Active Month of Gold futures on the final trading day of June 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
For CME Gold (GC) futures contracts, the Active Month is the nearest of CME's designated delivery-cycle months (February, April, June, August, October, December) that is not the spot month. The Active Month changes automatically on the contract's First Position Date, at which point the next eligible contract month becomes the Active Month.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days during June on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Gold (GC) futures.
거래량
$69,464종료일
2026.06.30마켓 개설일
Dec 26, 2025, 6:27 PM ETGold futures (GC) have rallied sharply to a May 7 settlement near $4,736 per ounce, up over 4% in the past week on U.S. dollar weakness and robust central bank purchases from emerging markets shifting reserves away from the dollar. With spot prices at $4,739/oz, trader consensus on Polymarket prices an elevated implied probability above $4,600 by end-June, buoyed by the Federal Reserve's steady 3.50%-3.75% fed funds rate amid cooling inflation trends but cautious Chair Powell signaling no near-term cuts. Key catalysts include May CPI data on June 10 and the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, where persistent labor strength or renewed price pressures could bolster real yields and cap upside, while softer data might spur rate cut bets favoring gold.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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