Official ONPE results with 93% of ballots counted place Jorge Nieto of the Party of Good Government firmly in fourth position at 11.06% of valid votes, ahead of Ricardo Belmont's 10.17% and well clear of others, driving trader consensus to 98.6% implied probability for this outcome in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election. Logistical delays from material shortages extended voting into a second day and slowed the count, but consistent trends across urban and partial rural tallies have solidified his standing amid a fragmented field where Keiko Fujimori leads and a tight race persists for second between Roberto Sánchez Palomino and Rafael López Aliaga. Final certification by the JNE could take weeks due to 6,000 pending records, but only major rural or overseas vote discrepancies or proven irregularities—none reported by observers—might challenge fourth place before the June 7 runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트페루 대통령 선거 1차 투표: 4위
페루 대통령 선거 1차 투표: 4위
호르헤 니에토 98.6%
리카르도 벨몬트 <1%
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 <1%
케이코 후지모리 <1%
$420,549 거래량
$420,549 거래량

호르헤 니에토
99%

리카르도 벨몬트
1%

라파엘 로페스 알리아가
<1%

케이코 후지모리
<1%

카를로스 알바레즈
<1%

알폰소 로페스 차우
<1%

호세 루나
<1%

로베르토 치아브라
<1%

호세 윌리엄스
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

욘히 레스카노
<1%

마리솔 페레스 텔로
<1%

로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
<1%

마리오 비스카라
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

블라디미르 세론
<1%

조지 포르사이스
<1%

엔리케 발데라마
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

페르난도 올리베라
<1%

라파엘 벨라운데 요사
<1%

메시아스 게바라
<1%

볼프강 그로조
<1%
호르헤 니에토 98.6%
리카르도 벨몬트 <1%
라파엘 로페스 알리아가 <1%
케이코 후지모리 <1%
$420,549 거래량
$420,549 거래량

호르헤 니에토
99%

리카르도 벨몬트
1%

라파엘 로페스 알리아가
<1%

케이코 후지모리
<1%

카를로스 알바레즈
<1%

알폰소 로페스 차우
<1%

호세 루나
<1%

로베르토 치아브라
<1%

호세 윌리엄스
<1%

Carlos Espá
<1%

욘히 레스카노
<1%

마리솔 페레스 텔로
<1%

로베르토 산체스 팔로미노
<1%

마리오 비스카라
<1%

César Acuña
<1%

블라디미르 세론
<1%

조지 포르사이스
<1%

엔리케 발데라마
<1%

Fiorella Molinelli
<1%

페르난도 올리베라
<1%

라파엘 벨라운데 요사
<1%

메시아스 게바라
<1%

볼프강 그로조
<1%
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
마켓 개설일: Mar 20, 2026, 10:41 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the fourth-most valid votes in the first round of this election.
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the fourth-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Official ONPE results with 93% of ballots counted place Jorge Nieto of the Party of Good Government firmly in fourth position at 11.06% of valid votes, ahead of Ricardo Belmont's 10.17% and well clear of others, driving trader consensus to 98.6% implied probability for this outcome in Peru's April 12-13 first-round presidential election. Logistical delays from material shortages extended voting into a second day and slowed the count, but consistent trends across urban and partial rural tallies have solidified his standing amid a fragmented field where Keiko Fujimori leads and a tight race persists for second between Roberto Sánchez Palomino and Rafael López Aliaga. Final certification by the JNE could take weeks due to 6,000 pending records, but only major rural or overseas vote discrepancies or proven irregularities—none reported by observers—might challenge fourth place before the June 7 runoff.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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