The even partisan lean of New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, combined with national midterm headwinds against the president’s party and recent nonpartisan race rating shifts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 75.5 percent. Incumbent Republican Thomas Kean Jr. secured reelection in 2024 with a narrow margin in a seat that has trended away from the GOP over recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up, while Inside Elections moved its outlook from tilt Republican to toss-up in late May 2026 amid expectations of a stronger Democratic challenger. Primaries on June 2 will clarify nominees ahead of the November general election, with fundraising and candidate recruitment remaining key variables that could still influence the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
78%
Republican Party
37%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$342 거래량
78%
Republican Party
$3,727 거래량
37%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The even partisan lean of New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, combined with national midterm headwinds against the president’s party and recent nonpartisan race rating shifts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 75.5 percent. Incumbent Republican Thomas Kean Jr. secured reelection in 2024 with a narrow margin in a seat that has trended away from the GOP over recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up, while Inside Elections moved its outlook from tilt Republican to toss-up in late May 2026 amid expectations of a stronger Democratic challenger. Primaries on June 2 will clarify nominees ahead of the November general election, with fundraising and candidate recruitment remaining key variables that could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
거래량
$4,069종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The even partisan lean of New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, combined with national midterm headwinds against the president’s party and recent nonpartisan race rating shifts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 75.5 percent. Incumbent Republican Thomas Kean Jr. secured reelection in 2024 with a narrow margin in a seat that has trended away from the GOP over recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up, while Inside Elections moved its outlook from tilt Republican to toss-up in late May 2026 amid expectations of a stronger Democratic challenger. Primaries on June 2 will clarify nominees ahead of the November general election, with fundraising and candidate recruitment remaining key variables that could still influence the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$4,069종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The even partisan lean of New Jersey’s 7th congressional district, combined with national midterm headwinds against the president’s party and recent nonpartisan race rating shifts, underpins trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 75.5 percent. Incumbent Republican Thomas Kean Jr. secured reelection in 2024 with a narrow margin in a seat that has trended away from the GOP over recent cycles. Cook Political Report rates the contest a toss-up, while Inside Elections moved its outlook from tilt Republican to toss-up in late May 2026 amid expectations of a stronger Democratic challenger. Primaries on June 2 will clarify nominees ahead of the November general election, with fundraising and candidate recruitment remaining key variables that could still influence the outcome.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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