Republican incumbent Mike Ezell’s decisive March primary victory and the district’s long-standing Republican lean drive trader consensus for a GOP win in Mississippi’s 4th congressional district. The seat, rated solidly Republican by established forecasters, has delivered consistent margins for the party in recent cycles, with Ezell securing over 83 percent of primary votes against his challenger. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum faces structural headwinds typical of the district’s voting patterns ahead of the November general election. While the current pricing reflects these fundamentals, late-cycle developments such as unexpected shifts in turnout among key voter blocs or unforeseen campaign events could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$23,812 거래량
$23,812 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
94%
민주당
3%
$23,812 거래량
$23,812 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$9,481 거래량
94%
민주당
$14,330 거래량
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Ezell’s decisive March primary victory and the district’s long-standing Republican lean drive trader consensus for a GOP win in Mississippi’s 4th congressional district. The seat, rated solidly Republican by established forecasters, has delivered consistent margins for the party in recent cycles, with Ezell securing over 83 percent of primary votes against his challenger. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum faces structural headwinds typical of the district’s voting patterns ahead of the November general election. While the current pricing reflects these fundamentals, late-cycle developments such as unexpected shifts in turnout among key voter blocs or unforeseen campaign events could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
거래량
$23,812종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican incumbent Mike Ezell’s decisive March primary victory and the district’s long-standing Republican lean drive trader consensus for a GOP win in Mississippi’s 4th congressional district. The seat, rated solidly Republican by established forecasters, has delivered consistent margins for the party in recent cycles, with Ezell securing over 83 percent of primary votes against his challenger. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum faces structural headwinds typical of the district’s voting patterns ahead of the November general election. While the current pricing reflects these fundamentals, late-cycle developments such as unexpected shifts in turnout among key voter blocs or unforeseen campaign events could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MS-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$23,812종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican incumbent Mike Ezell’s decisive March primary victory and the district’s long-standing Republican lean drive trader consensus for a GOP win in Mississippi’s 4th congressional district. The seat, rated solidly Republican by established forecasters, has delivered consistent margins for the party in recent cycles, with Ezell securing over 83 percent of primary votes against his challenger. Democratic nominee Jeffrey Hulum faces structural headwinds typical of the district’s voting patterns ahead of the November general election. While the current pricing reflects these fundamentals, late-cycle developments such as unexpected shifts in turnout among key voter blocs or unforeseen campaign events could still alter the trajectory before ballots are cast.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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