Maryland’s 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs including Rockville, Silver Spring, and Bethesda, has consistently delivered strong margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, who secured 76.8 percent of the vote in 2024, maintains a substantial fundraising edge and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican contenders have raised negligible sums. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November general election. Shifts could arise from an unexpected retirement by Raskin, a major scandal, or unusually strong Republican turnout driven by national conditions, though historical patterns and current candidate filings indicate limited realistic pathways for such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$14,576 거래량
$14,576 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$14,576 거래량
$14,576 거래량
2026.11.03
Democratic Party
$6,416 거래량
93%
Republican Party
$8,159 거래량
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs including Rockville, Silver Spring, and Bethesda, has consistently delivered strong margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, who secured 76.8 percent of the vote in 2024, maintains a substantial fundraising edge and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican contenders have raised negligible sums. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November general election. Shifts could arise from an unexpected retirement by Raskin, a major scandal, or unusually strong Republican turnout driven by national conditions, though historical patterns and current candidate filings indicate limited realistic pathways for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
거래량
$14,576종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs including Rockville, Silver Spring, and Bethesda, has consistently delivered strong margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, who secured 76.8 percent of the vote in 2024, maintains a substantial fundraising edge and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican contenders have raised negligible sums. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November general election. Shifts could arise from an unexpected retirement by Raskin, a major scandal, or unusually strong Republican turnout driven by national conditions, though historical patterns and current candidate filings indicate limited realistic pathways for such changes.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$14,576종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 8th congressional district, anchored in Democratic-leaning Montgomery County suburbs including Rockville, Silver Spring, and Bethesda, has consistently delivered strong margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Incumbent Jamie Raskin, who secured 76.8 percent of the vote in 2024, maintains a substantial fundraising edge and faces only minor primary challengers ahead of the June 23 primary, while Republican contenders have raised negligible sums. These factors underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic victory in the November general election. Shifts could arise from an unexpected retirement by Raskin, a major scandal, or unusually strong Republican turnout driven by national conditions, though historical patterns and current candidate filings indicate limited realistic pathways for such changes.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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