Massachusetts's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in consistent statewide voting patterns and a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage exceeding D+14, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic nominee prevailing in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Senator Ed Markey holds a lead in the September Democratic primary over challengers including Seth Moulton, according to recent polling, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile. This positioning aligns with the seat's history, including Markey's 2020 reelection margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant primary upset producing a less competitive Democratic nominee, late-breaking scandals, or health developments affecting the incumbent, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$12,986 거래량
$12,986 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
95%
공화당
4%
$12,986 거래량
$12,986 거래량
2026.11.03
민주당
$8,382 거래량
95%
공화당
$4,603 거래량
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in consistent statewide voting patterns and a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage exceeding D+14, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic nominee prevailing in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Senator Ed Markey holds a lead in the September Democratic primary over challengers including Seth Moulton, according to recent polling, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile. This positioning aligns with the seat's history, including Markey's 2020 reelection margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant primary upset producing a less competitive Democratic nominee, late-breaking scandals, or health developments affecting the incumbent, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
마켓 개설일: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
거래량
$12,986종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in consistent statewide voting patterns and a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage exceeding D+14, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic nominee prevailing in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Senator Ed Markey holds a lead in the September Democratic primary over challengers including Seth Moulton, according to recent polling, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile. This positioning aligns with the seat's history, including Markey's 2020 reelection margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant primary upset producing a less competitive Democratic nominee, late-breaking scandals, or health developments affecting the incumbent, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established trends.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
거래량
$12,986종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's pronounced Democratic lean, reflected in consistent statewide voting patterns and a Cook Partisan Voting Index advantage exceeding D+14, underpins the market's strong consensus for a Democratic nominee prevailing in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Senator Ed Markey holds a lead in the September Democratic primary over challengers including Seth Moulton, according to recent polling, while Republican primary contenders remain low-profile. This positioning aligns with the seat's history, including Markey's 2020 reelection margin. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a significant primary upset producing a less competitive Democratic nominee, late-breaking scandals, or health developments affecting the incumbent, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from established trends.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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