Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton defeated Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by roughly 7-8 percentage points in the March 17 Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, capturing about 40% to his 33% with strong turnout from Chicago and downstate voters, cementing trader consensus on the 6-9% margin outcome at 98%. This commanding position stems from Stratton's late surge, fueled by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC infusion—disclosed in recent FEC filings—overturning pre-election polls where Krishnamoorthi led. Final tabulations at over 99% show no major shifts, pending State Board of Elections certification. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to improbable late absentee or provisional ballots narrowing the gap below 6%, absent a successful recount request.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트스트래튼 6~9% 98.1%
스트래튼 9%+ 3.9%
스트래튼 3–6% 1.8%
크리슈나무르티 9%+ 1.0%
$23,607 거래량
$23,607 거래량
2026.03.17
크리슈나무르티 9%+
1%
크리슈나무르티 6–9%
<1%
크리슈나무르티 3–6%
<1%
크리슈나무르티 <3%
<1%
스트래튼 <3%
<1%
스트래튼 3–6%
2%
스트래튼 6~9%
98%
스트래튼 9%+
4%
기타
1%
스트래튼 6~9% 98.1%
스트래튼 9%+ 3.9%
스트래튼 3–6% 1.8%
크리슈나무르티 9%+ 1.0%
$23,607 거래량
$23,607 거래량
2026.03.17
크리슈나무르티 9%+
$3,787 거래량
1%
크리슈나무르티 6–9%
$0 거래량
<1%
크리슈나무르티 3–6%
$1,872 거래량
<1%
크리슈나무르티 <3%
$0 거래량
<1%
스트래튼 <3%
$3,360 거래량
<1%
스트래튼 3–6%
$5,109 거래량
2%
스트래튼 6~9%
$5,255 거래량
98%
스트래튼 9%+
$2,241 거래량
4%
기타
$1,984 거래량
1%
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton defeated Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by roughly 7-8 percentage points in the March 17 Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, capturing about 40% to his 33% with strong turnout from Chicago and downstate voters, cementing trader consensus on the 6-9% margin outcome at 98%. This commanding position stems from Stratton's late surge, fueled by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC infusion—disclosed in recent FEC filings—overturning pre-election polls where Krishnamoorthi led. Final tabulations at over 99% show no major shifts, pending State Board of Elections certification. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to improbable late absentee or provisional ballots narrowing the gap below 6%, absent a successful recount request.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
마켓 개설일: Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ET
거래량
$23,607종료일
2026.03.17마켓 개설일
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton defeated Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by roughly 7-8 percentage points in the March 17 Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, capturing about 40% to his 33% with strong turnout from Chicago and downstate voters, cementing trader consensus on the 6-9% margin outcome at 98%. This commanding position stems from Stratton's late surge, fueled by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC infusion—disclosed in recent FEC filings—overturning pre-election polls where Krishnamoorthi led. Final tabulations at over 99% show no major shifts, pending State Board of Elections certification. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to improbable late absentee or provisional ballots narrowing the gap below 6%, absent a successful recount request.
The Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Illinois is scheduled for March 17, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the Democratic Primary election for United States Senator from Illinois.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two candidates receive the same number of valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest margin of victory bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official election results published by the Illinois State Board of Elections (https://www.elections.il.gov/electionoperations/ElectionResults.aspx); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
거래량
$23,607종료일
2026.03.17마켓 개설일
Mar 17, 2026, 6:52 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton defeated Rep. Raja Krishnamoorthi by roughly 7-8 percentage points in the March 17 Illinois Democratic U.S. Senate primary, capturing about 40% to his 33% with strong turnout from Chicago and downstate voters, cementing trader consensus on the 6-9% margin outcome at 98%. This commanding position stems from Stratton's late surge, fueled by Gov. JB Pritzker's $10 million super PAC infusion—disclosed in recent FEC filings—overturning pre-election polls where Krishnamoorthi led. Final tabulations at over 99% show no major shifts, pending State Board of Elections certification. Realistic challenges are slim, limited to improbable late absentee or provisional ballots narrowing the gap below 6%, absent a successful recount request.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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