Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards issued in 2026 at 34%, reflecting a slow start to the program launched via executive order in late 2025, with USCIS Form I-140G enabling $1 million individual "gifts" for fast-tracked residency. High costs—$1 million per person versus $800,000 EB-5 investments that cover families—plus legal challenges labeling it a pay-to-play scheme have stifled demand, as noted in early March reporting on its tough sell. Absent sales announcements or approvals in the past 30 days, low-volume outcomes like 1-100 (23%) compete closely; first verified issuances or marketing surges could consolidate there, while court injunctions reinforce zero. Processing timelines remain opaque, with potential rulings ahead.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트0 36%
1-100 22.9%
1천~2천5백 7.4%
101-1천 7.0%
$139,289 거래량
$139,289 거래량
0
35%
1-100
23%
101-1천
7%
1천~2천5백
7%
2,500~5,000
3%
5천~1만
4%
10,000~25,000
3%
2만5천~10만
5%
>10만
6%
0 36%
1-100 22.9%
1천~2천5백 7.4%
101-1천 7.0%
$139,289 거래량
$139,289 거래량
0
35%
1-100
23%
101-1천
7%
1천~2천5백
7%
2,500~5,000
3%
5천~1만
4%
10,000~25,000
3%
2만5천~10만
5%
>10만
6%
This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Nov 5, 2025, 11:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the number of individuals who purchase a “Gold Card” between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
Any individual participating in a new program created after February 26, 2025, by the Trump Administration which is either referred to as a Gold Card, or involves a new pathway to U.S. citizenship, work permits, or any other form of legal residency status in exchange for payments or investment will qualify.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source will be official information from the Trump Administration. If the Trump Administration does not publish the number of individuals who receive Gold Cards by December 31, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors zero Gold Cards issued in 2026 at 34%, reflecting a slow start to the program launched via executive order in late 2025, with USCIS Form I-140G enabling $1 million individual "gifts" for fast-tracked residency. High costs—$1 million per person versus $800,000 EB-5 investments that cover families—plus legal challenges labeling it a pay-to-play scheme have stifled demand, as noted in early March reporting on its tough sell. Absent sales announcements or approvals in the past 30 days, low-volume outcomes like 1-100 (23%) compete closely; first verified issuances or marketing surges could consolidate there, while court injunctions reinforce zero. Processing timelines remain opaque, with potential rulings ahead.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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