The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now over 60 days and the longest for any single agency, stems from congressional deadlock over appropriations for immigration enforcement agencies like ICE and CBP amid demands for policy reforms. Recent Senate advancement of a reconciliation blueprint on April 20 sets submissions due May 15, targeting President Trump's June 1 deadline for border security funding, while House conservatives block partial deals without full reforms, and DHS Secretary Mullin warned April 21 of exhausted paycheck funds by early May. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty in a fragmented field, with May 18-24 edging ahead due to reconciliation timelines; April 20-26 could consolidate on sudden House votes, early May on pay crises, or prolonged stalemate pushing beyond July if procedural hurdles persist.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트When will the DHS shutdown end?
When will the DHS shutdown end?
May 18-24 15%
After July 31 13%
April 20-26 12%
April 27-May 3 10.0%
April 20-26
12%
April 27-May 3
10%
May 4-10
5%
May 11-17
4%
May 18-24
15%
May 25-31
10%
June 1-7
6%
June 8-14
4%
June 15-21
4%
June 22-28
4%
June 29-July 5
3%
July 6-12
3%
July 13-19
3%
July 20-26
4%
July 27-31
3%
After July 31
13%
May 18-24 15%
After July 31 13%
April 20-26 12%
April 27-May 3 10.0%
April 20-26
12%
April 27-May 3
10%
May 4-10
5%
May 11-17
4%
May 18-24
15%
May 25-31
10%
June 1-7
6%
June 8-14
4%
June 15-21
4%
June 22-28
4%
June 29-July 5
3%
July 6-12
3%
July 13-19
3%
July 20-26
4%
July 27-31
3%
After July 31
13%
The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 7:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The end date of the shutdown will be determined by the date on which the funding bill required to reopen the Department of Homeland Security is signed by the President or otherwise enacted. The announcement of an impending reopen will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be information from official U.S. Government sources and a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The partial Department of Homeland Security shutdown, now over 60 days and the longest for any single agency, stems from congressional deadlock over appropriations for immigration enforcement agencies like ICE and CBP amid demands for policy reforms. Recent Senate advancement of a reconciliation blueprint on April 20 sets submissions due May 15, targeting President Trump's June 1 deadline for border security funding, while House conservatives block partial deals without full reforms, and DHS Secretary Mullin warned April 21 of exhausted paycheck funds by early May. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty in a fragmented field, with May 18-24 edging ahead due to reconciliation timelines; April 20-26 could consolidate on sudden House votes, early May on pay crises, or prolonged stalemate pushing beyond July if procedural hurdles persist.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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