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GOP는 필리버스터를 깨기 위해 '핵 옵션' 을 사용할 것인가...?

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GOP는 필리버스터를 깨기 위해 '핵 옵션' 을 사용할 것인가...?

$531,362 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$531,362 Vol.

Polymarket

2026년 3월 31일

$14,785 Vol.

6%

2026년 12월 31일

$603 Vol.

26%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.
볼륨
$531,362
종료일
Mar 31, 2026
생성일
Nov 11, 2025, 5:12 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US Senate passes a motion to invoke cloture and end debate on any part of the legislative process, with such a cloture motion receiving Yea votes from fewer than three-fifths of the Senators by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". Confirmations are considered part of the Senate’s “advice and consent” function, not part of the Senate’s “legislative process,” and will therefore not count towards this market's resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. government.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"GOP는 필리버스터를 깨기 위해 '핵 옵션' 을 사용할 것인가...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 4 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "2026년 12월 31일" at 26%, followed by "2026년 3월 31일" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "GOP는 필리버스터를 깨기 위해 '핵 옵션' 을 사용할 것인가...?" has generated $531.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Oct 1, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "GOP는 필리버스터를 깨기 위해 '핵 옵션' 을 사용할 것인가...?," browse the 4 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "GOP는 필리버스터를 깨기 위해 '핵 옵션' 을 사용할 것인가...?" is "2026년 12월 31일" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "2026년 3월 31일" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "GOP는 필리버스터를 깨기 위해 '핵 옵션' 을 사용할 것인가...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.