President Trump's April 15 Fox Business interview, where he vowed to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors if he lingers beyond his May 15 term expiration, has intensified clashes over central bank independence. Powell's chairmanship ends soon, but his board seat extends to January 2028, with presidents historically limited to "for cause" removals amid legal precedents like Humphrey's Executor. This political pressure coincides with a DOJ probe into Fed renovations and Trump's March nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, whose Senate confirmation hearing looms. Fed funds hold steady at 3.64%, with CME futures implying minimal near-term cuts, while 10-year Treasury yields hover near 4.3%, reflecting trader caution on monetary policy disruptions ahead of the May FOMC. Polymarket's skin-in-the-game consensus prices low odds on a firing attempt, citing formidable institutional barriers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
2026.12.31
June 30
9%
12월 31일
19%
$6,061 거래량
June 30
$3,428 거래량
9%
12월 31일
$2,633 거래량
19%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 Fox Business interview, where he vowed to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors if he lingers beyond his May 15 term expiration, has intensified clashes over central bank independence. Powell's chairmanship ends soon, but his board seat extends to January 2028, with presidents historically limited to "for cause" removals amid legal precedents like Humphrey's Executor. This political pressure coincides with a DOJ probe into Fed renovations and Trump's March nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, whose Senate confirmation hearing looms. Fed funds hold steady at 3.64%, with CME futures implying minimal near-term cuts, while 10-year Treasury yields hover near 4.3%, reflecting trader caution on monetary policy disruptions ahead of the May FOMC. Polymarket's skin-in-the-game consensus prices low odds on a firing attempt, citing formidable institutional barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
마켓 개설일: Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ET
거래량
$6,061종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.President Trump's April 15 Fox Business interview, where he vowed to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors if he lingers beyond his May 15 term expiration, has intensified clashes over central bank independence. Powell's chairmanship ends soon, but his board seat extends to January 2028, with presidents historically limited to "for cause" removals amid legal precedents like Humphrey's Executor. This political pressure coincides with a DOJ probe into Fed renovations and Trump's March nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, whose Senate confirmation hearing looms. Fed funds hold steady at 3.64%, with CME futures implying minimal near-term cuts, while 10-year Treasury yields hover near 4.3%, reflecting trader caution on monetary policy disruptions ahead of the May FOMC. Polymarket's skin-in-the-game consensus prices low odds on a firing attempt, citing formidable institutional barriers.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Jerome Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Powell must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Powell”) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.
If Jerome Powell resigns or otherwise formally departs his role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".
Attempts to remove Powell from his role as chair of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, which do not include removing Powell as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, will not alone qualify.
The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
거래량
$6,061종료일
2026.12.31마켓 개설일
Apr 16, 2026, 12:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's April 15 Fox Business interview, where he vowed to fire Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell from the Board of Governors if he lingers beyond his May 15 term expiration, has intensified clashes over central bank independence. Powell's chairmanship ends soon, but his board seat extends to January 2028, with presidents historically limited to "for cause" removals amid legal precedents like Humphrey's Executor. This political pressure coincides with a DOJ probe into Fed renovations and Trump's March nomination of Kevin Warsh as successor, whose Senate confirmation hearing looms. Fed funds hold steady at 3.64%, with CME futures implying minimal near-term cuts, while 10-year Treasury yields hover near 4.3%, reflecting trader caution on monetary policy disruptions ahead of the May FOMC. Polymarket's skin-in-the-game consensus prices low odds on a firing attempt, citing formidable institutional barriers.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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