Resilient U.S. labor market data and persistent inflation pressures have driven trader consensus toward no change at the September FOMC meeting. May nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000 with unemployment near 4.3 percent, while April headline CPI reached 3.8 percent year-over-year amid elevated energy prices. These readings reinforce the Fed’s dual-mandate focus on price stability before any policy shift, consistent with recent holds at the 3.50-3.75 percent target range and forward guidance signaling caution. Modest pricing for a 25 basis point hike reflects limited upside risks if inflation fails to moderate, while deeper cuts remain sidelined pending clearer cooling in core measures or softening employment trends. Fresh CPI and jobs reports through August will shape any reassessment ahead of the September 15-16 decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트No change 80%
25 bps increase 17%
25 bps decrease 3.0%
50+ bps increase 1.2%
$134,184 거래량
$134,184 거래량
2026.09.16
50+ bps decrease
1%
25 bps decrease
3%
No change
80%
25 bps increase
17%
50+ bps increase
1%
No change 80%
25 bps increase 17%
25 bps decrease 3.0%
50+ bps increase 1.2%
$134,184 거래량
$134,184 거래량
2026.09.16
50+ bps decrease
$24,030 거래량
1%
25 bps decrease
$27,846 거래량
3%
No change
$32,145 거래량
80%
25 bps increase
$26,717 거래량
17%
50+ bps increase
$23,446 거래량
1%
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Resilient U.S. labor market data and persistent inflation pressures have driven trader consensus toward no change at the September FOMC meeting. May nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000 with unemployment near 4.3 percent, while April headline CPI reached 3.8 percent year-over-year amid elevated energy prices. These readings reinforce the Fed’s dual-mandate focus on price stability before any policy shift, consistent with recent holds at the 3.50-3.75 percent target range and forward guidance signaling caution. Modest pricing for a 25 basis point hike reflects limited upside risks if inflation fails to moderate, while deeper cuts remain sidelined pending clearer cooling in core measures or softening employment trends. Fresh CPI and jobs reports through August will shape any reassessment ahead of the September 15-16 decision.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
마켓 개설일: May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ET
거래량
$134,184종료일
2026.09.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.Resilient U.S. labor market data and persistent inflation pressures have driven trader consensus toward no change at the September FOMC meeting. May nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000 with unemployment near 4.3 percent, while April headline CPI reached 3.8 percent year-over-year amid elevated energy prices. These readings reinforce the Fed’s dual-mandate focus on price stability before any policy shift, consistent with recent holds at the 3.50-3.75 percent target range and forward guidance signaling caution. Modest pricing for a 25 basis point hike reflects limited upside risks if inflation fails to moderate, while deeper cuts remain sidelined pending clearer cooling in core measures or softening employment trends. Fresh CPI and jobs reports through August will shape any reassessment ahead of the September 15-16 decision.
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal funds range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's September 2026 meeting.
If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket. (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for September 15-16, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
The level and change of the target federal funds rate is also published at the official website of the Federal Reserve at https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their September meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
거래량
$134,184종료일
2026.09.16마켓 개설일
May 13, 2026, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Resilient U.S. labor market data and persistent inflation pressures have driven trader consensus toward no change at the September FOMC meeting. May nonfarm payrolls rose 172,000 with unemployment near 4.3 percent, while April headline CPI reached 3.8 percent year-over-year amid elevated energy prices. These readings reinforce the Fed’s dual-mandate focus on price stability before any policy shift, consistent with recent holds at the 3.50-3.75 percent target range and forward guidance signaling caution. Modest pricing for a 25 basis point hike reflects limited upside risks if inflation fails to moderate, while deeper cuts remain sidelined pending clearer cooling in core measures or softening employment trends. Fresh CPI and jobs reports through August will shape any reassessment ahead of the September 15-16 decision.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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