Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, conducted under a proportional representation system allocating 188 Chamber of Representatives seats across departmental circumscriptions plus special peace curules, show Historic Pact securing 42 seats for first place, with Centro Democrático (CD) at 30 seats in a commanding second ahead of Partido Liberal Colombiano's (PLC) 26. Trader consensus at 90% for CD reflects stable tallies from the Registraduría Nacional through late March certifications, including 16 transitional peace seats and one international curul, with no major recounts altering the order. PLC's 10% implied probability stems from its proximity, though scenarios like legal challenges to departmental allocations or special seat reassignments would be required to overtake CD.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트Centro Democrático (CD) 81.5%
콜롬비아 자유당 (PLC) 2.3%
콜롬비아를 위한 역사적 협정 (PH) 1.6%
MIRA-CJL 연합 (MIRA-CJL) 1.0%
$105,865 거래량
$105,865 거래량
2026.03.08
Centro Democrático (CD)
90%
콜롬비아 자유당 (PLC)
10%
콜롬비아를 위한 역사적 협정 (PH)
2%
MIRA-CJL 연합 (MIRA-CJL)
1%
콜롬비아 보수당 (보수당)
<1%
카mbio Radical (CR)
<1%
우당 (라 우)
<1%
녹색 동맹 (AV)
<1%
Centro Democrático (CD) 81.5%
콜롬비아 자유당 (PLC) 2.3%
콜롬비아를 위한 역사적 협정 (PH) 1.6%
MIRA-CJL 연합 (MIRA-CJL) 1.0%
$105,865 거래량
$105,865 거래량
2026.03.08
Centro Democrático (CD)
$11,881 거래량
90%
콜롬비아 자유당 (PLC)
$26,275 거래량
10%
콜롬비아를 위한 역사적 협정 (PH)
$58,553 거래량
2%
MIRA-CJL 연합 (MIRA-CJL)
$2,612 거래량
1%
콜롬비아 보수당 (보수당)
$1,931 거래량
<1%
카mbio Radical (CR)
$1,635 거래량
<1%
우당 (라 우)
$1,647 거래량
<1%
녹색 동맹 (AV)
$1,331 거래량
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, conducted under a proportional representation system allocating 188 Chamber of Representatives seats across departmental circumscriptions plus special peace curules, show Historic Pact securing 42 seats for first place, with Centro Democrático (CD) at 30 seats in a commanding second ahead of Partido Liberal Colombiano's (PLC) 26. Trader consensus at 90% for CD reflects stable tallies from the Registraduría Nacional through late March certifications, including 16 transitional peace seats and one international curul, with no major recounts altering the order. PLC's 10% implied probability stems from its proximity, though scenarios like legal challenges to departmental allocations or special seat reassignments would be required to overtake CD.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
마켓 개설일: Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
거래량
$105,865종료일
2026.03.08마켓 개설일
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, conducted under a proportional representation system allocating 188 Chamber of Representatives seats across departmental circumscriptions plus special peace curules, show Historic Pact securing 42 seats for first place, with Centro Democrático (CD) at 30 seats in a commanding second ahead of Partido Liberal Colombiano's (PLC) 26. Trader consensus at 90% for CD reflects stable tallies from the Registraduría Nacional through late March certifications, including 16 transitional peace seats and one international curul, with no major recounts altering the order. PLC's 10% implied probability stems from its proximity, though scenarios like legal challenges to departmental allocations or special seat reassignments would be required to overtake CD.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Colombia on 8 March 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Colombian Chamber of Representatives as a result of this election.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition in the Chamber of Representatives.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
거래량
$105,865종료일
2026.03.08마켓 개설일
Mar 4, 2026, 3:50 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Preliminary results from Colombia's March 8, 2026, parliamentary elections, conducted under a proportional representation system allocating 188 Chamber of Representatives seats across departmental circumscriptions plus special peace curules, show Historic Pact securing 42 seats for first place, with Centro Democrático (CD) at 30 seats in a commanding second ahead of Partido Liberal Colombiano's (PLC) 26. Trader consensus at 90% for CD reflects stable tallies from the Registraduría Nacional through late March certifications, including 16 transitional peace seats and one international curul, with no major recounts altering the order. PLC's 10% implied probability stems from its proximity, though scenarios like legal challenges to departmental allocations or special seat reassignments would be required to overtake CD.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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