The open seat in Arizona's 1st congressional district, vacated after longtime Republican incumbent David Schweikert launched a gubernatorial bid, has drawn competitive primaries set for July 21 and established the general election as a toss-up among major forecasters. Democratic candidates including Marlene Galán-Woods and Amish Shah lead early primary polling in a district that combines suburban Phoenix voters with a narrow Republican partisan voting index. Republican contenders such as Jay Feely, backed by President Trump, and Joseph Chaplik face their own primary contest. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party the stronger position, consistent with historical midterm patterns that often challenge the president's party in closely divided battlegrounds where small shifts in turnout or endorsements can alter outcomes before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
73%
Republican Party
48%
신규
신규
2026.11.04
Democratic Party
$165 거래량
73%
Republican Party
$296 거래량
48%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Arizona's 1st congressional district, vacated after longtime Republican incumbent David Schweikert launched a gubernatorial bid, has drawn competitive primaries set for July 21 and established the general election as a toss-up among major forecasters. Democratic candidates including Marlene Galán-Woods and Amish Shah lead early primary polling in a district that combines suburban Phoenix voters with a narrow Republican partisan voting index. Republican contenders such as Jay Feely, backed by President Trump, and Joseph Chaplik face their own primary contest. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party the stronger position, consistent with historical midterm patterns that often challenge the president's party in closely divided battlegrounds where small shifts in turnout or endorsements can alter outcomes before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ET
거래량
$460종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The open seat in Arizona's 1st congressional district, vacated after longtime Republican incumbent David Schweikert launched a gubernatorial bid, has drawn competitive primaries set for July 21 and established the general election as a toss-up among major forecasters. Democratic candidates including Marlene Galán-Woods and Amish Shah lead early primary polling in a district that combines suburban Phoenix voters with a narrow Republican partisan voting index. Republican contenders such as Jay Feely, backed by President Trump, and Joseph Chaplik face their own primary contest. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party the stronger position, consistent with historical midterm patterns that often challenge the president's party in closely divided battlegrounds where small shifts in turnout or endorsements can alter outcomes before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$460종료일
2026.11.04마켓 개설일
Dec 16, 2025, 11:39 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The open seat in Arizona's 1st congressional district, vacated after longtime Republican incumbent David Schweikert launched a gubernatorial bid, has drawn competitive primaries set for July 21 and established the general election as a toss-up among major forecasters. Democratic candidates including Marlene Galán-Woods and Amish Shah lead early primary polling in a district that combines suburban Phoenix voters with a narrow Republican partisan voting index. Republican contenders such as Jay Feely, backed by President Trump, and Joseph Chaplik face their own primary contest. Trader consensus currently assigns the Democratic Party the stronger position, consistent with historical midterm patterns that often challenge the president's party in closely divided battlegrounds where small shifts in turnout or endorsements can alter outcomes before November.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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