Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters based on its consistent voting patterns and 2024 results. Crawford advanced unopposed after the March primary was canceled due to limited filings, preserving his long tenure since 2011 and recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan makeup and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in recent months. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include unexpected health developments, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this region.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트$18,687 거래량
$18,687 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
93%
민주당
6%
$18,687 거래량
$18,687 거래량
2026.11.03
공화당
$11,115 거래량
93%
민주당
$7,571 거래량
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters based on its consistent voting patterns and 2024 results. Crawford advanced unopposed after the March primary was canceled due to limited filings, preserving his long tenure since 2011 and recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan makeup and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in recent months. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include unexpected health developments, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this region.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
마켓 개설일: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
거래량
$18,687종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters based on its consistent voting patterns and 2024 results. Crawford advanced unopposed after the March primary was canceled due to limited filings, preserving his long tenure since 2011 and recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan makeup and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in recent months. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include unexpected health developments, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this region.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AR-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
거래량
$18,687종료일
2026.11.03마켓 개설일
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rick Crawford faces Democrat Terri Yarbrough Green in the November 2026 general election for Arkansas's 1st congressional district, a seat rated solidly Republican by major forecasters based on its consistent voting patterns and 2024 results. Crawford advanced unopposed after the March primary was canceled due to limited filings, preserving his long tenure since 2011 and recent role as House Intelligence Committee chair. Trader consensus reflects the district's established partisan makeup and the absence of competitive challengers or major shifts in recent months. Scenarios that could still influence the outcome include unexpected health developments, late scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in a midterm environment, though such factors have historically shown limited impact in this region.
Polymarket 데이터를 참조하는 실험적 AI 생성 요약입니다. 이것은 거래 조언이 아니며 이 마켓의 정산에 영향을 미치지 않습니다. · 업데이트
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