CDAP1

参加しました 1月 2026·358 views

$19.9K

ポジション値

$2,867.69

最大の勝利

予測

損益

$69.04

過去1日

現在

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 15.2¢

32,634.3 株

15.2¢

35.6¢

$11,601.51$6,630.65 (133.39%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 15.2¢

32,634.3 株

$11,601.51$6,630.65 (133.39%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.3¢

138,384.5 株

4.3¢

1.8¢

$2,560.11-$3,395.40 (-57.01%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.3¢

138,384.5 株

$2,560.11-$3,395.40 (-57.01%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.1¢

850,396.5 株

2.1¢

0.3¢

$2,125.99-$15,728.08 (-88.09%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.1¢

850,396.5 株

$2,125.99-$15,728.08 (-88.09%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

No 49.3¢

1,404.6 株

49.3¢

86¢

$1,207.92$515.71 (74.5%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

No 49.3¢

1,404.6 株

$1,207.92$515.71 (74.5%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.6¢

24,999.9 株

4.6¢

4.5¢

$1,125.00-$24.07 (-2.1%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.6¢

24,999.9 株

$1,125.00-$24.07 (-2.1%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8¢

200,000.0 株

0.8¢

0.3¢

$500.00-$1,100.00 (-68.75%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8¢

200,000.0 株

$500.00-$1,100.00 (-68.75%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 5.5¢

3,752.4 株

5.5¢

6¢

$225.14$20.25 (9.88%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 5.5¢

3,752.4 株

$225.14$20.25 (9.88%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 2.9¢

3,784.6 株

2.9¢

5.1¢

$192.64$82.04 (74.18%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 2.9¢

3,784.6 株

$192.64$82.04 (74.18%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Yes 20¢

1,362.8 株

20¢

14¢

$190.79-$81.77 (-30%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Yes 20¢

1,362.8 株

$190.79-$81.77 (-30%)

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 3.5¢

3,307.9 株

3.5¢

1.8¢

$59.54-$55.52 (-48.25%)

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 3.5¢

3,307.9 株

$59.54-$55.52 (-48.25%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6¢

30,167.1 株

1.6¢

0.2¢

$45.25-$432.26 (-90.52%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6¢

30,167.1 株

$45.25-$432.26 (-90.52%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 3.5¢

1,453.9 株

3.5¢

1.3¢

$18.90-$31.92 (-62.81%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 3.5¢

1,453.9 株

$18.90-$31.92 (-62.81%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Yes 7¢

132.6 株

7¢

9¢

$11.93$2.65 (28.57%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Yes 7¢

132.6 株

$11.93$2.65 (28.57%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 14.9¢

49.7 株

14.9¢

12.5¢

$6.21-$1.19 (-16.13%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 14.9¢

49.7 株

$6.21-$1.19 (-16.13%)

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 36¢

0.4 株

36¢

78.5¢

$0.32$0.17 (117.99%)

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 36¢

0.4 株

$0.32$0.17 (117.99%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 55.1¢

0.3 株

55.1¢

93¢

$0.28$0.11 (68.71%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 55.1¢

0.3 株

$0.28$0.11 (68.71%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

0.7 株

13.5¢

30.5¢

$0.20$0.11 (126.04%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

0.7 株

$0.20$0.11 (126.04%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 45.7¢

0.2 株

45.7¢

93.5¢

$0.18$0.09 (104.44%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 45.7¢

0.2 株

$0.18$0.09 (104.44%)

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 13¢

0.7 株

13¢

9.5¢

$0.06-$0.02 (-26.81%)

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 13¢

0.7 株

$0.06-$0.02 (-26.81%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Yes 18.9¢

1,753.3 株

18.9¢

0¢

$0.00-$331.39 (-100%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Yes 18.9¢

1,753.3 株

$0.00-$331.39 (-100%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Yes 10.6¢

1,570.0 株

10.6¢

0¢

$0.00-$166.49 (-100%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Yes 10.6¢

1,570.0 株

$0.00-$166.49 (-100%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 15.2¢

32,634.3 株

15.2¢

35.6¢

$11,601.51$6,630.65 (133.39%)

Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?

Yes 15.2¢

32,634.3 株

$11,601.51$6,630.65 (133.39%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.3¢

138,384.5 株

4.3¢

1.8¢

$2,560.11-$3,395.40 (-57.01%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.3¢

138,384.5 株

$2,560.11-$3,395.40 (-57.01%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.1¢

850,396.5 株

2.1¢

0.3¢

$2,125.99-$15,728.08 (-88.09%)

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 2.1¢

850,396.5 株

$2,125.99-$15,728.08 (-88.09%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

No 49.3¢

1,404.6 株

49.3¢

86¢

$1,207.92$515.71 (74.5%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

No 49.3¢

1,404.6 株

$1,207.92$515.71 (74.5%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.6¢

24,999.9 株

4.6¢

4.5¢

$1,125.00-$24.07 (-2.1%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 4.6¢

24,999.9 株

$1,125.00-$24.07 (-2.1%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8¢

200,000.0 株

0.8¢

0.3¢

$500.00-$1,100.00 (-68.75%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8¢

200,000.0 株

$500.00-$1,100.00 (-68.75%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 5.5¢

3,752.4 株

5.5¢

6¢

$225.14$20.25 (9.88%)

Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 5.5¢

3,752.4 株

$225.14$20.25 (9.88%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 2.9¢

3,784.6 株

2.9¢

5.1¢

$192.64$82.04 (74.18%)

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026?

Yes 2.9¢

3,784.6 株

$192.64$82.04 (74.18%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Yes 20¢

1,362.8 株

20¢

14¢

$190.79-$81.77 (-30%)

Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027?

Yes 20¢

1,362.8 株

$190.79-$81.77 (-30%)

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 3.5¢

3,307.9 株

3.5¢

1.8¢

$59.54-$55.52 (-48.25%)

Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026?

Yes 3.5¢

3,307.9 株

$59.54-$55.52 (-48.25%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6¢

30,167.1 株

1.6¢

0.2¢

$45.25-$432.26 (-90.52%)

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Yes 1.6¢

30,167.1 株

$45.25-$432.26 (-90.52%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 3.5¢

1,453.9 株

3.5¢

1.3¢

$18.90-$31.92 (-62.81%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 3.5¢

1,453.9 株

$18.90-$31.92 (-62.81%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Yes 7¢

132.6 株

7¢

9¢

$11.93$2.65 (28.57%)

Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Apr–Jun–Jul)?

Yes 7¢

132.6 株

$11.93$2.65 (28.57%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 14.9¢

49.7 株

14.9¢

12.5¢

$6.21-$1.19 (-16.13%)

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Yes 14.9¢

49.7 株

$6.21-$1.19 (-16.13%)

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 36¢

0.4 株

36¢

78.5¢

$0.32$0.17 (117.99%)

Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting?

No 36¢

0.4 株

$0.32$0.17 (117.99%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 55.1¢

0.3 株

55.1¢

93¢

$0.28$0.11 (68.71%)

Will the Fed Pause–Pause–Pause in the next three decisions (Mar–Apr–Jun)?

Yes 55.1¢

0.3 株

$0.28$0.11 (68.71%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

0.7 株

13.5¢

30.5¢

$0.20$0.11 (126.04%)

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Yes 13.5¢

0.7 株

$0.20$0.11 (126.04%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 45.7¢

0.2 株

45.7¢

93.5¢

$0.18$0.09 (104.44%)

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 45.7¢

0.2 株

$0.18$0.09 (104.44%)

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 13¢

0.7 株

13¢

9.5¢

$0.06-$0.02 (-26.81%)

Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?

Yes 13¢

0.7 株

$0.06-$0.02 (-26.81%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Yes 18.9¢

1,753.3 株

18.9¢

0¢

$0.00-$331.39 (-100%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?

Yes 18.9¢

1,753.3 株

$0.00-$331.39 (-100%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Yes 10.6¢

1,570.0 株

10.6¢

0¢

$0.00-$166.49 (-100%)

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?

Yes 10.6¢

1,570.0 株

$0.00-$166.49 (-100%)