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Will Trump concede by midnight?

icon for Will Trump concede by midnight?

Will Trump concede by midnight?

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$29,525 Vol.

<1% 確率
Polymarket

$29,525 Vol.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump concedes in the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If this candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe. Only public statements from Donald this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump concedes in the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If this candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe.

Only public statements from Donald this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
音量
$29,525
終了日
2024/11/05
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2024, 5:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump concedes in the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If this candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe. Only public statements from Donald this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump concedes in the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If this candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe. Only public statements from Donald this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump concedes in the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If this candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe.

Only public statements from Donald this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
音量
$29,525
終了日
2024/11/05
マーケット開始日
Nov 5, 2024, 5:51 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump concedes in the 2024 US presidential election by November 5, 2024, 11:59:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement which acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2024 US presidential election, will not be the next President, or which acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If this candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged, or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from this candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if his declaration of victory falls outside the markets timeframe. Only public statements from Donald this candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

提案された結果: No

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: No

外部リンクに注意してください。

よくある質問

「Will Trump concede by midnight? 」はPolymarket上の予測市場で、トレーダーがこのイベントが起こるかどうかに基づいて「はい」または「いいえ」のシェアを売買します。コミュニティによる現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。例えば、「はい」が0¢で取引されている場合、市場はこのイベントが発生する確率を0%と集合的に評価しています。これらのオッズはトレーダーが新しい展開や情報に反応するにつれて継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「Will Trump concede by midnight? 」は$29.5Kの総取引量を生み出しています(Nov 5, 2024のマーケット開始以来)。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

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「Will Trump concede by midnight? 」の現在の確率は「Yes」に対して0%です。これはPolymarketコミュニティがこのイベントの発生確率を0%と現在評価していることを意味します。これらのオッズは実際の取引に基づいてリアルタイムで更新され、市場の期待を継続的に反映するシグナルを提供します。

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