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Will Trump 10% blanket tariff go into effect by Saturday?

Market icon

Will Trump 10% blanket tariff go into effect by Saturday?

>99% chance
Polymarket

$45,035 Vol.

>99% chance
Polymarket

$45,035 Vol.

On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the general 10% tariff on all imports into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between April 2, 2025, and April 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the 10% tariff, as announced by the Trump administration, must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

Only the general 10% tariff applying to all imports into the United States will qualify. For example, tariffs specifically targeting individual countries (e.g., reciprocal tariffs) or specific goods (e.g., autos, steel) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
音量
$45,035
終了日
Apr 5, 2025
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2025, 8:25 PM ET
On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the general 10% tariff on all imports into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between April 2, 2025, and April 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the 10% tariff, as announced by the Trump administration, must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only the general 10% tariff applying to all imports into the United States will qualify. For example, tariffs specifically targeting individual countries (e.g., reciprocal tariffs) or specific goods (e.g., autos, steel) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/)

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the general 10% tariff on all imports into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between April 2, 2025, and April 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the 10% tariff, as announced by the Trump administration, must have passed without being further delayed or suspended.

Only the general 10% tariff applying to all imports into the United States will qualify. For example, tariffs specifically targeting individual countries (e.g., reciprocal tariffs) or specific goods (e.g., autos, steel) will not count toward this market's resolution.

This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.
音量
$45,035
終了日
Apr 5, 2025
マーケット開始日
Apr 2, 2025, 8:25 PM ET
On April 2, Donald Trump announced a 10% tariff on all imports set to take effect on April 5, 2025 at 12:01 a.m. EDT (see: https://www.whitehouse.gov/fact-sheets/2025/04/fact-sheet-president-donald-j-trump-declares-national-emergency-to-increase-our-competitive-edge-protect-our-sovereignty-and-strengthen-our-national-and-economic-security/) This market will resolve to “Yes” if the general 10% tariff on all imports into the United States goes into effect for any amount of time between April 2, 2025, and April 5, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For the purpose of this market, "goes into effect" means the start date for the 10% tariff, as announced by the Trump administration, must have passed without being further delayed or suspended. Only the general 10% tariff applying to all imports into the United States will qualify. For example, tariffs specifically targeting individual countries (e.g., reciprocal tariffs) or specific goods (e.g., autos, steel) will not count toward this market's resolution. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration; however, a consensus of credible information from major news outlets or government statements will also be used.

提案された結果: Yes

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: Yes

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"Will Trump 10% blanket tariff go into effect by Saturday?" is a prediction market on Polymarket where traders buy and sell "Yes" or "No" shares based on whether they believe this event will happen. The current crowd-sourced probability is 100% for "Yes." For example, if "Yes" is priced at 100¢, the market collectively assigns a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Will Trump 10% blanket tariff go into effect by Saturday?" has generated $45K in total trading volume since the market launched on Apr 3, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Will Trump 10% blanket tariff go into effect by Saturday?," simply choose whether you believe the answer is "Yes" or "No." Each side has a current price that reflects the market's implied probability. Enter your amount and click "Trade." If you buy "Yes" shares and the outcome resolves as "Yes," each share pays out $1. If it resolves as "No," your "Yes" shares pay $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current probability for "Will Trump 10% blanket tariff go into effect by Saturday?" is 100% for "Yes." This means the Polymarket crowd currently believes there is a 100% chance that this event will occur. These odds update in real-time based on actual trades, providing a continuously updated signal of what the market expects to happen.

The resolution rules for "Will Trump 10% blanket tariff go into effect by Saturday?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.