Trader consensus favors Tom Aspinall at 48% implied probability to remain UFC heavyweight champion through 2026, reflecting his status as reigning titleholder with elite finishing power (12 of 15 wins by stoppage) and top pound-for-pound ranking after defending against top contenders. Sergei Pavlovich's 26.9% share stems from his 2025 resurgence, including decision victories over Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Waldo Cortes-Acosta, restoring his knockout threat status at No. 5 in rankings. Ciryl Gane holds 24.5% on technical striking prowess and No. 2 ranking despite a chaotic no-contest with Aspinall at UFC 321; recent buzz around a potential matchup with Alex Pereira adds intrigue to his title path. Rising prospects like Cortes-Acosta (15%) and Jailton Almeida (14.9%) gain traction from momentum in recent bouts, while veterans like Curtis Blaydes (10%) linger on head-to-head history amid a fluid division per April 1 rankings update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日トム・アスピナル 42%
セルゲイ・パブロビッチ 26.9%
シリル・ガーヌ 16%
デリック・ルイス 10.4%
$28,525 Vol.
$28,525 Vol.
トム・アスピナル
49%
セルゲイ・パブロビッチ
27%
シリル・ガーヌ
26%
デリック・ルイス
10%
アンテ・デリヤ
10%
カーティス・ブレイズ
10%
マルチン・ティブラ
7%
セルゲイ・スピヴァク
9%
アレクサンダー・ヴォルコフ
9%
ワルド・コルテス・アコスタ
1%
ジャイルトン・アルメイダ
15%
トム・アスピナル 42%
セルゲイ・パブロビッチ 26.9%
シリル・ガーヌ 16%
デリック・ルイス 10.4%
$28,525 Vol.
$28,525 Vol.
トム・アスピナル
49%
セルゲイ・パブロビッチ
27%
シリル・ガーヌ
26%
デリック・ルイス
10%
アンテ・デリヤ
10%
カーティス・ブレイズ
10%
マルチン・ティブラ
7%
セルゲイ・スピヴァク
9%
アレクサンダー・ヴォルコフ
9%
ワルド・コルテス・アコスタ
1%
ジャイルトン・アルメイダ
15%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
マーケット開始日: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Tom Aspinall at 48% implied probability to remain UFC heavyweight champion through 2026, reflecting his status as reigning titleholder with elite finishing power (12 of 15 wins by stoppage) and top pound-for-pound ranking after defending against top contenders. Sergei Pavlovich's 26.9% share stems from his 2025 resurgence, including decision victories over Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Waldo Cortes-Acosta, restoring his knockout threat status at No. 5 in rankings. Ciryl Gane holds 24.5% on technical striking prowess and No. 2 ranking despite a chaotic no-contest with Aspinall at UFC 321; recent buzz around a potential matchup with Alex Pereira adds intrigue to his title path. Rising prospects like Cortes-Acosta (15%) and Jailton Almeida (14.9%) gain traction from momentum in recent bouts, while veterans like Curtis Blaydes (10%) linger on head-to-head history amid a fluid division per April 1 rankings update.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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