Islam Makhachev's dominant wrestling clinic over Jack Della Maddalena to claim the UFC welterweight title at UFC 322 in November 2025 positions him as the clear trader favorite at 76% implied probability to hold the belt through 2026, bolstered by his pound-for-pound #1 status and six UFC title wins across divisions. Recent manager comments signal a summer title defense—potentially against undefeated #3-ranked Michael Morales (7.5%) or vocal #2 contender Ian Machado Garry (7%)—amid criticism of his inactivity, yet his stylistic edges keep odds firm. Knockout artist Carlos Prates (8%), now #5 after recent finishes including over Leon Edwards, emerges as a dark horse threat in the stacked division, while former champ Belal Muhammad (0.5%) fades post-losses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日イスラム・マカチェフ 72%
マイケル・モラレス 13%
カルロス・プラテス 8%
イアン・マチャド・ギャリー 7%
イスラム・マカチェフ
75%
マイケル・モラレス
13%
カルロス・プラテス
8%
イアン・マチャド・ギャリー
7%
ジャック・デラ・マダレナ
2%
ホアキン・バックリー
1%
カマル・ウスマン
1%
レオン・エドワーズ
1%
ベラル・ムハンマド
1%
シャフカット・ラフモノフ
<1%
ショーン・ブレイディ
<1%
イスラム・マカチェフ 72%
マイケル・モラレス 13%
カルロス・プラテス 8%
イアン・マチャド・ギャリー 7%
イスラム・マカチェフ
75%
マイケル・モラレス
13%
カルロス・プラテス
8%
イアン・マチャド・ギャリー
7%
ジャック・デラ・マダレナ
2%
ホアキン・バックリー
1%
カマル・ウスマン
1%
レオン・エドワーズ
1%
ベラル・ムハンマド
1%
シャフカット・ラフモノフ
<1%
ショーン・ブレイディ
<1%
Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
マーケット開始日: Jan 4, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Only official UFC division champions will count. Interim champions will not count.
If the relevant belt is vacant at this market’s check time, or there is otherwise no champion in the specified division, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/athletes).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Islam Makhachev's dominant wrestling clinic over Jack Della Maddalena to claim the UFC welterweight title at UFC 322 in November 2025 positions him as the clear trader favorite at 76% implied probability to hold the belt through 2026, bolstered by his pound-for-pound #1 status and six UFC title wins across divisions. Recent manager comments signal a summer title defense—potentially against undefeated #3-ranked Michael Morales (7.5%) or vocal #2 contender Ian Machado Garry (7%)—amid criticism of his inactivity, yet his stylistic edges keep odds firm. Knockout artist Carlos Prates (8%), now #5 after recent finishes including over Leon Edwards, emerges as a dark horse threat in the stacked division, while former champ Belal Muhammad (0.5%) fades post-losses.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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