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What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?

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What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?

Apr 1

Apr 1

$101,555 Vol.

Apr 1, 2026
Polymarket

$101,555 Vol.

Polymarket

↓ 5700

$860 Vol.

1%

↓ 5600

$1,604 Vol.

1%

↓ 5500

$31,361 Vol.

1%

↓ 5350

$25,448 Vol.

1%

↓ 5200

$1,028 Vol.

1%

↓ 5000

$1,569 Vol.

1%

↓4750

$39,684 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX). Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX). Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.The S&P 500 has declined over 5% month-to-date through March 27's close near 6,369, reflecting trader consensus on delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts after the March 18 FOMC held the fed funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Chair Powell's emphasis on sticky inflation risks, exacerbated by oil price surges from the protracted Iran conflict, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and compressed equity valuations amid elevated volatility around 19-20%. Year-to-date returns have turned negative, reversing early 2026 gains, with broad sector weakness post-decision marking the worst FOMC day since 2024. Traders eye quarter-end flows, March PCE inflation release on March 28, and April nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts before month-end resolution.

The S&P 500 has declined over 5% month-to-date through March 27's close near 6,369, reflecting trader consensus on delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts after the March 18 FOMC held the fed funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Chair Powell's emphasis on sticky inflation risks, exacerbated by oil price surges from the protracted Iran conflict, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and compressed equity valuations amid elevated volatility around 19-20%. Year-to-date returns have turned negative, reversing early 2026 gains, with broad sector weakness post-decision marking the worst FOMC day since 2024. Traders eye quarter-end flows, March PCE inflation release on March 28, and April nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts before month-end resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX). Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point during March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX). Note: S&P 500 (SPX) is represented by ^GSPC on Yahoo Finance.The S&P 500 has declined over 5% month-to-date through March 27's close near 6,369, reflecting trader consensus on delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts after the March 18 FOMC held the fed funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Chair Powell's emphasis on sticky inflation risks, exacerbated by oil price surges from the protracted Iran conflict, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and compressed equity valuations amid elevated volatility around 19-20%. Year-to-date returns have turned negative, reversing early 2026 gains, with broad sector weakness post-decision marking the worst FOMC day since 2024. Traders eye quarter-end flows, March PCE inflation release on March 28, and April nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts before month-end resolution.

The S&P 500 has declined over 5% month-to-date through March 27's close near 6,369, reflecting trader consensus on delayed Federal Reserve rate cuts after the March 18 FOMC held the fed funds target steady at 3.50%-3.75%. Chair Powell's emphasis on sticky inflation risks, exacerbated by oil price surges from the protracted Iran conflict, has lifted 10-year Treasury yields and compressed equity valuations amid elevated volatility around 19-20%. Year-to-date returns have turned negative, reversing early 2026 gains, with broad sector weakness post-decision marking the worst FOMC day since 2024. Traders eye quarter-end flows, March PCE inflation release on March 28, and April nonfarm payrolls as pivotal catalysts before month-end resolution.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?」はPolymarket上の14個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑ 6800」で100%、次いで「↑ 6550」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?」は$101.6Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 9, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?」で取引するには、このページに記載されている14個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑ 6800」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↑ 6550」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit in March?」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。