The S&P 500 recently notched record highs above 5,100, fueled by blockbuster earnings from AI-driven megacaps like Nvidia—up 18% post-report—and resilient consumer spending data underscoring economic strength. January CPI eased to 3.1% year-over-year, aligning with the Federal Reserve's 2% target trajectory and bolstering trader consensus for three 25-basis-point rate cuts starting in June, per market-implied Fed funds futures. With 10-year Treasury yields steady near 4.2%, sentiment reflects soft-landing optimism amid moderating inflation and solid labor markets. Critical catalysts ahead: March 8 nonfarm payrolls, March 12 CPI, and March 19-20 FOMC meeting, where dot plot revisions could sway end-of-March levels versus thresholds like 5,200 or 5,000.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
$531,133 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ 8,000ドル
<1%
↑ $7,500
<1%
↑ 7,300ドル
<1%
↑ 7,200ドル
<1%
↑ 7,100ドル
1%
↑ 7,000ドル
1%
↑ 6,900ドル
2%
↓ 6,400ドル
78%
↓ 6,300ドル
40%
↓ 6,200ドル
19%
↓ 6,000ドル
5%
↓ 5,000ドル
<1%
$531,133 Vol.
↑ 8,000ドル
$0 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,500
$33,636 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7,300ドル
$72,697 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7,200ドル
$3,227 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7,100ドル
$15,341 Vol.
1%
↑ 7,000ドル
$18,935 Vol.
1%
↑ 6,900ドル
$14,852 Vol.
2%
↓ 6,400ドル
$51,767 Vol.
78%
↓ 6,300ドル
$88,913 Vol.
40%
↓ 6,200ドル
$32,955 Vol.
19%
↓ 6,000ドル
$43,292 Vol.
5%
↓ 5,000ドル
$156,525 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 recently notched record highs above 5,100, fueled by blockbuster earnings from AI-driven megacaps like Nvidia—up 18% post-report—and resilient consumer spending data underscoring economic strength. January CPI eased to 3.1% year-over-year, aligning with the Federal Reserve's 2% target trajectory and bolstering trader consensus for three 25-basis-point rate cuts starting in June, per market-implied Fed funds futures. With 10-year Treasury yields steady near 4.2%, sentiment reflects soft-landing optimism amid moderating inflation and solid labor markets. Critical catalysts ahead: March 8 nonfarm payrolls, March 12 CPI, and March 19-20 FOMC meeting, where dot plot revisions could sway end-of-March levels versus thresholds like 5,200 or 5,000.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
音量
$531,133終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 recently notched record highs above 5,100, fueled by blockbuster earnings from AI-driven megacaps like Nvidia—up 18% post-report—and resilient consumer spending data underscoring economic strength. January CPI eased to 3.1% year-over-year, aligning with the Federal Reserve's 2% target trajectory and bolstering trader consensus for three 25-basis-point rate cuts starting in June, per market-implied Fed funds futures. With 10-year Treasury yields steady near 4.2%, sentiment reflects soft-landing optimism amid moderating inflation and solid labor markets. Critical catalysts ahead: March 8 nonfarm payrolls, March 12 CPI, and March 19-20 FOMC meeting, where dot plot revisions could sway end-of-March levels versus thresholds like 5,200 or 5,000.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$531,133終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The S&P 500 recently notched record highs above 5,100, fueled by blockbuster earnings from AI-driven megacaps like Nvidia—up 18% post-report—and resilient consumer spending data underscoring economic strength. January CPI eased to 3.1% year-over-year, aligning with the Federal Reserve's 2% target trajectory and bolstering trader consensus for three 25-basis-point rate cuts starting in June, per market-implied Fed funds futures. With 10-year Treasury yields steady near 4.2%, sentiment reflects soft-landing optimism amid moderating inflation and solid labor markets. Critical catalysts ahead: March 8 nonfarm payrolls, March 12 CPI, and March 19-20 FOMC meeting, where dot plot revisions could sway end-of-March levels versus thresholds like 5,200 or 5,000.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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