The S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 5,900, propelled by robust Q4 earnings beats from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Meta, alongside cooling inflation data that bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Trader sentiment reflects optimism around sustained AI-driven productivity gains and resilient corporate margins, with the index up over 5% year-to-date amid low VIX readings signaling subdued volatility. Key upcoming catalysts include the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price in a 65% chance of a 25-basis-point cut per CME FedWatch, February CPI release on March 12, and Q1 earnings season kickoff, all of which could sway the index toward or away from psychological thresholds like 6,000 by March 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？
$525,671 Vol.
Mar 31, 2026
↑ 8,000ドル
<1%
↑ $7,500
<1%
↑ 7,300ドル
<1%
↑ 7,200ドル
<1%
↑ 7,100ドル
1%
↑ 7,000ドル
1%
↑ 6,900ドル
2%
↓ 6,400ドル
68%
↓ 6,300ドル
25%
↓ 6,200ドル
11%
↓ 6,000ドル
3%
↓ 5,000ドル
<1%
$525,671 Vol.
↑ 8,000ドル
$0 Vol.
<1%
↑ $7,500
$33,604 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7,300ドル
$72,687 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7,200ドル
$3,227 Vol.
<1%
↑ 7,100ドル
$15,341 Vol.
1%
↑ 7,000ドル
$17,920 Vol.
1%
↑ 6,900ドル
$14,852 Vol.
2%
↓ 6,400ドル
$51,664 Vol.
68%
↓ 6,300ドル
$86,688 Vol.
25%
↓ 6,200ドル
$31,864 Vol.
11%
↓ 6,000ドル
$41,752 Vol.
3%
↓ 5,000ドル
$156,072 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 5,900, propelled by robust Q4 earnings beats from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Meta, alongside cooling inflation data that bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Trader sentiment reflects optimism around sustained AI-driven productivity gains and resilient corporate margins, with the index up over 5% year-to-date amid low VIX readings signaling subdued volatility. Key upcoming catalysts include the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price in a 65% chance of a 25-basis-point cut per CME FedWatch, February CPI release on March 12, and Q1 earnings season kickoff, all of which could sway the index toward or away from psychological thresholds like 6,000 by March 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
マーケット開始日： Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET
音量
$525,671終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 5,900, propelled by robust Q4 earnings beats from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Meta, alongside cooling inflation data that bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Trader sentiment reflects optimism around sustained AI-driven productivity gains and resilient corporate margins, with the index up over 5% year-to-date amid low VIX readings signaling subdued volatility. Key upcoming catalysts include the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price in a 65% chance of a 25-basis-point cut per CME FedWatch, February CPI release on March 12, and Q1 earnings season kickoff, all of which could sway the index toward or away from psychological thresholds like 6,000 by March 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.
Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.
All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.
The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$525,671終了日
Mar 31, 2026マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...提案された結果: はい
異議申し立てなし
最終結果: はい
The S&P 500 has surged to fresh record highs above 5,900, propelled by robust Q4 earnings beats from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia and Meta, alongside cooling inflation data that bolstered expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts. Trader sentiment reflects optimism around sustained AI-driven productivity gains and resilient corporate margins, with the index up over 5% year-to-date amid low VIX readings signaling subdued volatility. Key upcoming catalysts include the March 18-19 FOMC meeting, where markets price in a 65% chance of a 25-basis-point cut per CME FedWatch, February CPI release on March 12, and Q1 earnings season kickoff, all of which could sway the index toward or away from psychological thresholds like 6,000 by March 31.
Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
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