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財務·ファイナンス報酬300

3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？

Market icon
財務·ファイナンス報酬300

3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$632,021 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$632,021 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 8,000ドル

$109,182 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,500

$32,385 Vol.

<1%

↑ 7,300ドル

$72,645 Vol.

<1%

↑ 7,200ドル

$3,227 Vol.

<1%

↑ 7,100ドル

$15,303 Vol.

1%

↑ 7,000ドル

$17,822 Vol.

1%

↑ 6,900ドル

$14,398 Vol.

5%

↓ 6,400ドル

$51,162 Vol.

49%

↓ 6,300ドル

$86,601 Vol.

23%

↓ 6,200ドル

$31,642 Vol.

10%

↓ 6,000ドル

$41,711 Vol.

3%

↓ 5,000ドル

$156,072 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs near 5,810, up over 2% in the past week, fueled by Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September and resilient economic data showing September nonfarm payrolls at 254,000 versus consensus estimates of 150,000. Trader sentiment reflects optimism over cooling inflation—core PCE at 2.7% annualized—and strong third-quarter earnings from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia, driving the index's 23% year-to-date gain amid AI investment fervor. Valuation concerns linger with forward P/E ratios above 22x historical averages, while upcoming catalysts include October CPI release on November 13, bank earnings kickoff, and the November 5 presidential election, all poised to influence end-of-March positioning amid potential volatility spikes.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered.

Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered.

All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades.

The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.
音量
$632,021
終了日
Mar 31, 2026
マーケット開始日
Mar 3, 2026, 2:58 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs near 5,810, up over 2% in the past week, fueled by Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September and resilient economic data showing September nonfarm payrolls at 254,000 versus consensus estimates of 150,000. Trader sentiment reflects optimism over cooling inflation—core PCE at 2.7% annualized—and strong third-quarter earnings from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia, driving the index's 23% year-to-date gain amid AI investment fervor. Valuation concerns linger with forward P/E ratios above 22x historical averages, while upcoming catalysts include October CPI release on November 13, bank earnings kickoff, and the November 5 presidential election, all poised to influence end-of-March positioning amid potential volatility spikes.

The S&P 500 has rallied to fresh all-time highs near 5,810, up over 2% in the past week, fueled by Federal Reserve's 50 basis point rate cut in September and resilient economic data showing September nonfarm payrolls at 254,000 versus consensus estimates of 150,000. Trader sentiment reflects optimism over cooling inflation—core PCE at 2.7% annualized—and strong third-quarter earnings from megacap tech leaders like Nvidia, driving the index's 23% year-to-date gain amid AI investment fervor. Valuation concerns linger with forward P/E ratios above 22x historical averages, while upcoming catalysts include October CPI release on November 13, bank earnings kickoff, and the November 5 presidential election, all poised to influence end-of-March positioning amid potential volatility spikes.

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よくある質問

「3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑ 6,800ドル」で100%、次いで「↓ 6,600ドル」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」は$632Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑ 6,800ドル」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↓ 6,600ドル」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

「3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」の決済ルールは、各結果が勝者と宣言されるために何が起こる必要があるかを正確に定義しています。これには結果を決定するために使用される公式データソースも含まれます。このページのコメント上にある「ルール」セクションで完全な決済基準を確認できます。取引前にルールを注意深く読むことをお勧めします。