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財務·ファイナンス報酬300

3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？

Market icon
財務·ファイナンス報酬300

3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

Mar 31

Jun 30

Dec 31

$714,867 Vol.

Mar 31, 2026
Polymarket

$714,867 Vol.

Polymarket

↑ 8,000ドル

$0 Vol.

<1%

↑ $7,500

$41,221 Vol.

<1%

↑ 7,300ドル

$77,994 Vol.

<1%

↑ 7,200ドル

$5,237 Vol.

<1%

↑ 7,100ドル

$44,116 Vol.

1%

↑ 7,000ドル

$25,543 Vol.

1%

↑ 6,900ドル

$65,447 Vol.

1%

↓ 6,300ドル

$131,687 Vol.

45%

↓ 6,200ドル

$37,059 Vol.

32%

↓ 6,000ドル

$51,984 Vol.

4%

↓ 5,000ドル

$161,250 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% amid escalating Middle East tensions from the Iran conflict, surging oil prices toward $100 per barrel, and a five-week losing streak—the longest since 2022—erasing over 4% month-to-date. Post-March 17-18 FOMC decision to hold rates steady amid February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, pricing a 46% implied probability of closing above 6,300 by March 31 versus 32% above 6,200, signaling recession fears and Magnificent Seven losses exceeding $300 billion. Quarter-end rebalancing and window dressing through March 31 represent key catalysts, with early Q1 earnings previews adding volatility amid persistent inflation pressures.

The S&P 500 closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% amid escalating Middle East tensions from the Iran conflict, surging oil prices toward $100 per barrel, and a five-week losing streak—the longest since 2022—erasing over 4% month-to-date. Post-March 17-18 FOMC decision to hold rates steady amid February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, pricing a 46% implied probability of closing above 6,300 by March 31 versus 32% above 6,200, signaling recession fears and Magnificent Seven losses exceeding $300 billion. Quarter-end rebalancing and window dressing through March 31 represent key catalysts, with early Q1 earnings previews adding volatility amid persistent inflation pressures.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "High" price equal to or above the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.This market will resolve to "Yes" if, at any point between market creation and market close on the final day of trading for March 2026, any 1-minute candle for S&P 500 (SPX) shows a final "Low" price equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." All prices recorded during regular trading hours of the primary exchange for the instrument, as reflected in Yahoo Finance's 1-minute interval ("1m") data, will be considered. Periods when the market is officially closed (e.g., holidays or maintenance breaks) will not be considered. All times referenced are local to the primary exchange on which the index trades. The resolution source for this market is Yahoo Finance — specifically, the 1-minute interval ("1m") chart data for S&P 500 (SPX) available at https://finance.yahoo.com/quote/%5EGSPC/.The S&P 500 closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% amid escalating Middle East tensions from the Iran conflict, surging oil prices toward $100 per barrel, and a five-week losing streak—the longest since 2022—erasing over 4% month-to-date. Post-March 17-18 FOMC decision to hold rates steady amid February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, pricing a 46% implied probability of closing above 6,300 by March 31 versus 32% above 6,200, signaling recession fears and Magnificent Seven losses exceeding $300 billion. Quarter-end rebalancing and window dressing through March 31 represent key catalysts, with early Q1 earnings previews adding volatility amid persistent inflation pressures.

The S&P 500 closed March 27 at 6,368.85, down 1.67% amid escalating Middle East tensions from the Iran conflict, surging oil prices toward $100 per barrel, and a five-week losing streak—the longest since 2022—erasing over 4% month-to-date. Post-March 17-18 FOMC decision to hold rates steady amid February CPI at 2.4% year-over-year, trader consensus on Polymarket reflects caution, pricing a 46% implied probability of closing above 6,300 by March 31 versus 32% above 6,200, signaling recession fears and Magnificent Seven losses exceeding $300 billion. Quarter-end rebalancing and window dressing through March 31 represent key catalysts, with early Q1 earnings previews adding volatility amid persistent inflation pressures.

Polymarketデータを参照したAI生成の実験的な要約 · 更新日

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よくある質問

「3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」はPolymarket上の15個の結果が可能な予測市場で、トレーダーが何が起こるかに基づいてシェアを売買します。現在のリード結果は「↑ 6,800ドル」で100%、次いで「↓ 6,600ドル」が100%です。価格はコミュニティのリアルタイム確率を反映しています。例えば、100¢で取引されているシェアは、市場がその結果に100%の確率を集合的に割り当てていることを意味します。これらのオッズは継続的に変化します。正しい結果のシェアは市場決済時に各$1で引き換え可能です。

本日現在、「3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」は$714.9Kの総取引量を生み出しています（Mar 3, 2026のマーケット開始以来）。この取引活動レベルはPolymarketコミュニティの強い関与を反映し、現在のオッズが幅広い市場参加者によって形成されていることを保証します。このページで直接、ライブの価格変動を追跡し、任意の結果で取引できます。

「3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」で取引するには、このページに記載されている15個の利用可能な結果を閲覧します。各結果には市場の暗示確率を表す現在の価格が表示されています。ポジションを取るには、最も可能性が高いと思う結果を選び、「はい」で支持するか「いいえ」で反対するかを選択し、金額を入力して「取引」をクリックします。選んだ結果が市場決済時に正しければ、「はい」のシェアは各$1を支払います。正しくなければ$0です。決済前にいつでもシェアを売却できます。

「3月末までにS&P 500 （ SPX ）はどのような打撃を受けるでしょうか？」の現在のフロントランナーは「↑ 6,800ドル」で100%であり、市場がこの結果に100%の確率を割り当てていることを意味します。次に近い結果は「↓ 6,600ドル」で100%です。これらのオッズはトレーダーがシェアを売買するにつれてリアルタイムで更新されます。頻繁に確認するか、このページをブックマークしてください。

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