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俳優賞受賞:主演女優賞-映画

Market icon

俳優賞受賞:主演女優賞-映画

ジェシー・バックリー 100.0%

ローズ・バーン <1%

ルーシー・リュー <1%

エマ・ストーン <1%

Polymarket

$101,813 Vol.

ジェシー・バックリー 100.0%

ローズ・バーン <1%

ルーシー・リュー <1%

エマ・ストーン <1%

Polymarket

$101,813 Vol.

ローズ・バーン

$8,286 Vol.

いいえ

ルーシー・リュー

$11,144 Vol.

いいえ

エマ・ストーン

$8,739 Vol.

いいえ

ジェシー・バックリー

$30,074 Vol.

はい

ケイト・ハドソン

$10,682 Vol.

いいえ

シンシア・エリヴォ

$739 Vol.

いいえ

テヤナ・テイラー

$3,774 Vol.

いいえ

オデッサ・アジオン

$8,224 Vol.

いいえ

チェイス・インフィニティ

$5,715 Vol.

いいえ

レナーテ・レインスヴェ

$6,620 Vol.

いいえ

グウィネス・パルトロー

$7,816 Vol.

いいえ

The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No".

If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actress whose name comes first in alphabetical order.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
音量
$101,813
終了日
Mar 1, 2026
マーケット開始日
Dec 23, 2025, 12:34 PM ET
The 32nd Annual Screen Actors Guild Awards, honoring the best achievements in film and television performances for the year 2025, will be presented on March 1, 2026, at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, California, United States. Nominations are scheduled to be announced January 7, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed actress wins the Screen Actors Guild Award for Outstanding Performance by a Female Actor in a Leading Role in a Motion Picture, otherwise it will resolve to "No". If for any reason no winner is announced by March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". In the case of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the listed actress whose name comes first in alphabetical order. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Screen Actors Guild, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.sagawards.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

提案された結果: はい

異議申し立てなし

最終結果: はい

外部リンクに注意してください。

Frequently Asked Questions

"俳優賞受賞:主演女優賞-映画" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "ジェシー・バックリー" at 100%, followed by "ローズ・バーン" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "俳優賞受賞:主演女優賞-映画" has generated $101.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Dec 23, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "俳優賞受賞:主演女優賞-映画," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "俳優賞受賞:主演女優賞-映画" is "ジェシー・バックリー" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "ローズ・バーン" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "俳優賞受賞:主演女優賞-映画" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.